11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 1 MILO SCHIELD, Augsburg College Director, W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project Vice President, National Numeracy Network Project.

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Presentation transcript:

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 1 MILO SCHIELD, Augsburg College Director, W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project Vice President, National Numeracy Network Project Kaleidoscope (PKAL) Carleton College: QUIRK Project Quantitative Inquiry, Reasoning & Knowledge 11 October 2008 Slides at Statistical Literacy Course

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 2 NNN: Numeracy Across the Curriculum In quantitative majors: 60% of college grads Majors that require statistics or calculus. Embed numeracy into existing quantitative courses. In non-quantitative majors: 40% of grads Majors that don’t require a math course (e.g., Art) Hard to embed numeracy into existing courses. Need English-graph literacy, not algebra/math/stats. Need to read, write and reason with tables and graphs.

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 3 W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Course A complete package: For students: a student-tested, critical-thinking textbook, thousands of field-tested Moodle exercises cutting-edge web programs For teachers, a template to evaluate numbers in the news a web-based instructor-training program over 30 scholarly papers on this course

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 4 StatLit studies numbers in the news everyday Statistical Literacy studies numbers found in experiments, observational studies, surveys, models and medical tests. Magnet Reduces Severe Pain Smoking can lessen IQ, thinking ability Weightlifting may cut teen diabetes risk Kids with High IQs Become Vegetarians Evolution Pro & Con: A survey Global Warming Projects a “Hot Planet” Cancer Diagnostic Test has High Error Rate

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 5 Structured Approach Students need a structured approach to analyze news stories that use numbers as evidence. This course uses a critical thinking approach. What is the point of the story? Is there association or causation? How could association be causal? How well do numbers support the point?

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 6 Structured Approach Take CARE Context: What factors are controlled for by study design, ratios, etc.? What are plausible confounders? Assembly: Could numbers be influenced by the choice of definitions, comparisons or mode of presentation? Randomness: Could a statistic be due to chance? Is the association statistically significant? Can significance change? Error: What are plausible sources of error or bias?

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 7 Structured Approach Take CARE: Context

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 8 8 Assembly: Definition and Counts: #1 Which definition gives the larger number? A “dividend-paying stock” is any stock that has paid a dividend a. during the past year. b. during ANY of the past three years c. during EACH of the past five years ANSWER: B(80%)

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 9 9 Assembly: Definition and Counts: #2 Who has more children: Rich or Poor moms? Poor < 35K < Rich. ANSWER: Rich moms Poor 50K ANSWER: Poor Moms <10K10-20K20-25K25-30K30-35K35-50K50-75K>75K 4.2M6.2M3.4M3.8M3.6M8.9M10.6M12.5

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 10 Assembly: Definition and Ratios Which definition of “children” gives the higher percentage of children who are bullies? a. Any person who is between 6 and 18 b. Any person who is between 13 and 18 ANSWER: B (71%) More restrictive ‘whole’

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 11 W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Course Statistical Literacy has been taught online at Capella Univ. When ranked on critical thinking with all other general education courses, Statistical Literacy ranked 2 nd. Philosophy was #1 while traditional statistics ranked last (15 out of 15). When asked if they would recommend the course to other students, Statistical Literacy ranked #6. Traditional statistics ranked #15..

11 Oct 2008 Quirk-PKAL 12 W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Course Course Overview Brochure: See Analyzing Cases using ‘Take CARE’ Draft at Quantitative Reasoning component: