Growth In Texas Water Planning Texas Demographic Data Users Conference May 20 th, 2015 Kevin Kluge Texas Water Development Board

Agenda Growth Review Unique Units of Growth Development of Projections Resulting Goal of Projections

Projecting Growth In Water Plans

Growth in the 2017 State Water Plan

Growth Over 60 Years

Growth In the Next 10 Years

Total 2070 Population

Projected Areas In State Water Planning Cities (978) Water Utilities (337) Utilities In Lieu of Cities Collection of Utilities (9)

Growth In Montgomery County

Growth In Fort Bend County

Growth In North DFW

Growth In Travis-Williamson Counties

Growth In Austin-San Antonio

Drafting of Projections Identify Cities & Utilities – Cities > 500 pop – Utilities > 280 acre-feet County Projections – TxSDC half or full migration Project Cities & Utilities – Estimate utility pop – Based on county growth

Regional Review of Projections Regional Review & Revision Requests – Increases required offsets – Over 400 regional revision requests – Over 90% of revision requests partially or wholly adopted Other Agency Stakeholder – Texas Parks & Wildlife Division – Texas Commission on Environmental Quality – Texas Dept. of Agriculture

Review of Projections: Region C Over 280 municipal entities in region Area Stakeholders Analyzed build-out limits Redistributed growth

Development of Projections: Region H Coordination with Regional Groundwater Update Project Projections on 1 square mile grid Evaluation of the ability to develop areas Overall projections similar to TWDB Draft.

Goal of State Water Planning

Municipal Demand Projections Dry-Year Per-Person Water Use MINUS Efficiency Savings TIMES Population Projections 19 Growth In Municipal Water Use

Water Demands of the State

A New Way To View the Details

The Take Away The State Water Plan projects : – Far into the future, and – Down to small cities and utilities Projections Are Developed With Regional input Goal is Credible Water Demand Projections and Meeting Water Needs

Thank You Kevin Kluge