2008 ICAO SURVEY ICAO launched a survey in 2008 to assess the global and regional requirements for civil aviation personnel and associated training capacity The
GLOBAL AND REGIONAL 20-YEAR FORECASTS
ICAO SURVEY Forecasts for pilots, maintenance personnel, and ATCs Based on the size of future fleet projections for
SURVEY RESPONSE North America 100% Europe 80% Asia/Pacific 82 Latin America 54% Africa 50% Middle East 42%
Fleet Growth Rates PassengerCargoOther Africa 2.8%3.7%6.1% Asia/ Pacific 5.0%5.3%9.1% Europe 3.0%1.7%6.5% Latin A 3.8%4.3%6.0% Middle East 4.1%5.8%4.8% North America 1.8%1.6%2.8% World3.1%2.7%4.3%
Pilot Population Professional Pilots World Traffic Africa1%6% Asia/Pacific11%28% Europe18%28% Latin America 5%4% Middle East2% North America 63% (58% U.S.)32% World100%
U.S. DEMOGRAPHICS OF PILOT POPULATION Considering mandatory retirement age of 65 Approximately 85,000 pilots (31%) are aged 55 or older Among this age group 34,000 (13%) will be eligible for retirement from 2015 Approximately 118,000 pilots (43%) are aged 50 or more Among this age group, another 34,000 will be eligible for retirement from 2020
PILOTTRAININGNEEDS Pilots needed:203 0 Training Needs Training Capacity Shortage/ Surplus Africa Asia/Pacific Europe Latin America Middle East North America (15 681) (11 974)
WHAT SHORTAGE: WHAT DAY IS IT Furloughed: American: 1,900; United: 1,436, FlexJet: 17% of its Pilots January 9, 2012 Dallas news American Airlines on Monday made three big announcements: * It will stop flying its Chicago-Delhi, India, route on March 1. * It will close its Burbank, Calif., station and end Dallas/Fort Worth-Burbank flights. It will lay off 150 workers in the U.S.
Given the Projected Pilot Demand in North America, and the Current Training Infrastructure, a USAAP is not needed. Based on the new “Pilot-Act”, the Current Training Infrastructure will need to be Changed Given the Enormous Global Pilot Need, Fundamental Changes Need to Occur in the Industry Inherent Complication of the Logistics of a UASSP run Program THE BOTTOM LINE
ANOTHER BOTTOM LINE “The Government needs to do only what the people cannot do better by themselves, and no more”
THANK YOU MTSU UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS CLUB MEMBERS TALK TO VISITORS AT MTSU FOOTBALL GAME BEFORE HISTORIC DRONE COIN DROP