© OECD/IEA - 2008 INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS.

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© OECD/IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS International Comparisons of Energy Use and Carbon Dioxide Emissions The IEA Indicator Approach Dr Peter G Taylor Acting Head, Energy Technology Policy Division Climate Change and Sustainable Development – The Role of Indicators Expert Group Meeting, United Nations, 15 – 16 October 2008, New York

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Overview Introduction to the IEA work Simple energy and CO 2 indicators Analysing trends and drivers CO 2 reduction potentials Conclusions

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA IEA Indicators Work Establish a harmonised framework for analysis Harmonisation => Comparability Comparability => Understanding of global trends and drivers Produce meaningful cross-country analysis to provide guidance to policy-makers on: Underlying drivers (economic activity & structure, income, prices...) Trends in energy use and CO 2 emissions Energy efficiency opportunities and progress Policy effectiveness

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Shares of Global Final Energy Consumption and CO 2 Emissions by Sector, 2006

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Total Final Energy Consumption by Sector

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Total Final Energy Consumption by Energy Commodity

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Carbon Intensity of the Final Energy Mix

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA CO 2 Emissions per Capita

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA CO 2 Emissions per Unit of GDP 2005 values

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA End-Use Coverage for Indicators

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Factors Affecting Energy-Related CO 2 Emissions Level of Energy Use Activity Structure (mix of activities) Energy intensity of each activity Carbon Intensity of Energy Use Fuel mix Carbon intensity of each fuel

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Household CO 2 Emissions by End-Use, IEA19 Note: Energy use for space heating has been climate corrected

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Energy consumption of Appliances, EU15 Average Unit Energy ConsumptionShare of Large and Small Appliances Source: ODYSSEE

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Passenger Transport CO 2 Emissions per Capita, 2005

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Energy Use per Passenger- Kilometre (All Modes)

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Share of Total Passenger Transport by Mode, 2005

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Average Fuel Intensity of the Car Stock

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Decomposition of Trends in Overall CO 2 Emissions, IEA16

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Decomposition of Trends in CO 2 per Unit of GDP

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Factors impacting CO 2 emissions from final energy use, IEA16

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Using Indicators to Calculate Reduction Potentials for CO 2 Emissions Use of BAT/BPT to assess potential in the industrial and electricity generation sectors These indicators are useful for showing: To what extent existing technology can achieve further savings Where the potential lies (countries and processes) However, there are limitations to the use of the indicators : Assess instantaneous technical potential Do not take into account practical constraints Not suitable for short-term target setting But calculated potentials are easy to understand

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA CO 2 Reduction Potential in Cement, Based on Best Available Technology

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Technical Fuel and CO 2 Savings Potential from Improving the Efficiency of Electricity Production

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS © OECD/IEA Key Conclusions and Policy Messages Indicators are a powerful tool for analysing trends in energy use and CO 2 emissions, and calculating potentials for further savings Results show the important role of energy efficiency in shaping patterns of energy use and CO 2 emissions in IEA countries, but gains are often offset by other factors Large potential for further energy and CO 2 savings in many industries and power generation (and other sectors) Sustainable development requires that CO 2 emissions be decoupled from economic growth, this is possible but will require strong policy-action from Governments Urgent need for governments to enhance framework for monitoring end-use energy consumption and address the gaps in available statistical data

© OECD/IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis ENERGY INDICATORS Thank you ! contact: The latest IEA indicators report (published May 2008) is available for free download at: