INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE IEA industrial efficiency work Paul Waide Energy Efficiency and Environment Division International Energy Agency UNIDO EGM on Industrial Energy Efficiency and Energy Management Standards, Vienna, March 2007 © OECD/IEA

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Manufacturing Energy Use by Fuel, IEA Countries Manufacturing energy use is 15% lower than in 1973, driven by a 62% decrease in oil use

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Energy Use by Manufacturing Sub- sector, IEA-11

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Sector Intensities and Total Economy Effect, IEA-11 Energy intensity declines have slowed in all sectors since the late 1980s

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Manufacturing Energy Intensity Adjusted for Structural Changes Declines in energy intensities slowed markedly after 1986

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Evolution of Sub-sector Energy Intensities, IEA-11 The decline in energy intensities has slowed down since 1986 in all sub-sectors

OF ENERGY USE IN IEA COUNTRIES Oil Crises & Climate Challenges Reduction in Energy Use from Changes in Structure and Intensities, IEA-11 Reduced energy use due to decline in sectoral intensities = Energy Savings Without energy savings and structural changes, 1998 energy use would have been twice as high

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE G8 Request Identify promising areas for further analysis of industrial energy efficiency potentials Develop new country level indicators for industrial energy efficiency Advise on policies and best practices Expanded by IEA GB to include CO 2

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVES Scenarios & Strategies to 2050

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVES Scenarios & Strategies to 2050

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVES Scenarios & Strategies to 2050

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVES Scenarios & Strategies to 2050

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Dialogue Workshops with Industry Motor systems, May 2006 Cement, 4-5 September 2006 Paper and Pulp:  Technical workshop, 9 October 2006, Paris  International Seminar, October 2006, Rome Iron and Steel – 7 November 2006 Petrochemicals December 2006 Ammonia – March 2007 Aluminium – May 2007 Cooperation with: CEPI, CEFIC, IAI, IFA, IISI, ICFPA, FAO, WBCSD,…

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Indicators Publication (April 2007) Policy needs:  Methodology  Data  Independent verification Focuses on key sectors Focuses on key countries Look at country trends Try to compare country efficiencies Does NOT cover materials comparison/substitution potentials Each sector needs a tailor-made approach Detailed approach needed Balance data availability, level of detail and acceptance

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Industry Indicators Publication content Written for a high-level audience Goal is to provide the best possible information on current efficiencies & past trends on a country/region level, by sector Focus on energy and CO 2 emissions per unit of physical product 10 chapters, special attention for:  Iron & steel  Cement  Chemicals & petrochemicals  Pulp & paper  CHP Proposes multiple indicators: there exists no “true” ranking Balance data availability and “correctness”

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Example: Fuel use in Cement Kilns

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Example CO2 emissions in cement making

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Insights 70% of energy use in heavy industry, 30% in light industry Iron & steel, chemicals and cement account for 75% of direct emissions Sectoral energy use and CO 2 emission relevance do not match 80% of the growth in the past 10 years in China A gradual efficiency improvement over time in all sectors in all regions Remaining energy efficiency potential 10-30% Energy efficiency is part of the solution Efficiency in DCs often higher than in OECD countries

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Analysis Structure Indicators for Industrial Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions – April 2007 More detailed analysis for China (starts now) Efficiency potential analysis (new technologies) – End 2007 Energy Technology Perspectives 2008 will contain detailed scenario analysis results

INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE Thank You