Managerial Economics: Introduction Donald J. Harmatuck UW-Madison School of Business.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
What is the Goal of the Company?
Advertisements

Chapter 1 Introduction.
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 1 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics McGraw-Hill/Irwin Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and.
WHY DO SOME FIRMS SUCCEED? Why do some firms succeed and others fail? Possible explanations include- Luck. How does this help us understand decision-making?
Managerial Economics Introduction Managerial Economics:
Introduction, Basic Principles and Methodology
© The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2005 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 25-1 REWARDING BUSINESS PERFORMANCE Chapter 25.
1-1 Welcome ECON 6313 ECON 6313 Managerial Economics Fall semester, 2011 Professor Chris BrownChris Brown.
Introduction to Corporate Finance Financial Policy and Planning.
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 12 th Edition. Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics Chapter 1.
Performance Pay and Top-Management Incentives By: Michael Jensen, and Kevin Murphy.
© 2005 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter OneCopyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall. 1 Chapter 1 Introduction.
© 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy
Introduction to Managerial Economics
Chapter 1: Managers, Profits, and Markets McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter 1 Introduction.
Copyright © 2008 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Managerial Economics, 9e Managerial Economics Thomas Maurice.
Chapter 1: Managers, Profits, and Markets McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
TOPICS 1. FINANCIAL DECISIONS, INVESTMENT DECISIONS AND DIVIDEND DECISIONS 2. FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PROCESS 3.PROFIT MAXIMIZATION AND WEALTH MAXIMIZATION.
FINANCE IN A CANADIAN SETTING Sixth Canadian Edition Lusztig, Cleary, Schwab.
Managerial Economics Prof. M. El-Sakka CBA. Kuwait University Managerial Economics in a Global Economy Chapter 1 B.
ECONOMICS FOR MANAGERS
Slide 1 © 2008 Cengage Learning South-Western Managerial Economics Applications, Strategy, and Tactics, 11 th Edition by McGuigan, Moyer, & Harris PowerPoint.
Slide 1  2002 South-Western, Thomson Learning Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategy, and Tactics by McGuigan, Moyer, & Harris PowerPoint Lecture.
The Role of Financial Management
DR. IBRAHEM AL-EZZEE-FIN421CHAPTER1 1 Chapter 1 Long-Term Investing and Financial Decisions.
1 Chapter 11 Oligopoly. 2 Define market structures Number of sellers Product differentiation Barrier to entry.
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Chapter 1 The Role and Environment of Managerial Finance.
 Economics  What’s Economics about? ♦ Science of making decisions to allocate scarce resources to alternative uses. ♦ Three fundamental questions: –
Chapter 3 Arbitrage and Financial Decision Making
Organizing to Implement Corporate Diversification
Slide 1 Managerial Economics İ lker Daştan, PhD Department of Economics Izmir University of Economics.
Slide 1  2005 South-Western Publishing Managerial Economics Applications, Strategy, and Tactics, 10 th Edition by McGuigan, Moyer, & Harris PowerPoint.
Introduction to Corporate Finance MB 29. Meaning of Corporate Finance  Corporate finance can be defined as a body of knowledge that deals with the following.
Chapter 1: Managers, Profits, and Markets. Managerial Economics & Theory Managerial economics applies microeconomic theory to business problemsmicroeconomic.
Essentials of Managerial Finance by S. Besley & E. Brigham Slide 1 of 23 Chapter 1 An Overview of Managerial Finance.
Business pressures Issues for evaluation on merger / takeover & business behaviour Monopoly & Oligopoly…
Chapter 1 Introduction.
Goals and Governance of the Firm
Financial Management (An Introduction). Contents of the Chapter Meaning of Finance Meaning of Financial Management Three Major Decisions of Financial.
CHAPTER 1 The Role and Environment of Managerial Finance
1 © 2006 by Nelson, a division of Thomson Canada Limited Slides developed by: William Rentz & Al Kahl University of Ottawa Chapter 1 Introduction and Goals.
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Modeling the Market Process: A Review of the Basics Chapter 2 © 2007 Thomson Learning/South-WesternCallan and Thomas, Environmental Economics and Management,
Managerial Economics. What is Managerial Economics???  It is the integration of economic principles with business management practices  It is essentially.
Chapter 1 The Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics.
INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE FINANCE CHAPTER 1 Copyright © 2016 McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 12th Edition
CHAPTER 1 An overview of Managerial Finance. What is Financial Management Is the ability to adapt to change, raise funds, invest in assets, and manage.
Chapter 1: Managers, Profits, and Markets
BEC 30325: MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS.
MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS 12th Edition
Managerial Economics Applications, Strategy, and Tactics, 10th Edition
Welcome ECON 6313 Managerial Economics Fall semester, 2017 Professor Chris Brown.
MICROECONOMICS: Theory & Applications
Lecturer: Kem Reat Viseth, PhD (Economics)
Managers, Profits, and Markets
INTRODUCTION TO CORPORATE STRATEGY
Economic Analysis for Managers (ECO 501) Fall Semester, 2012
Managers, Profits, and Markets
Chapter 1 The Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics
Lecture One – i.) Introduction ii.) Profits and Markets
Economics of Pricing Strategies
Chapter 1: Managerial Economics Managers, Profits, and Markets
Chapter 1 The Nature and Scope of Managerial Economics
Managers, Profits, and Markets
Chapter 1 Introduction.
Presentation transcript:

Managerial Economics: Introduction Donald J. Harmatuck UW-Madison School of Business

What is Managerial Economics? n Managerial Economics The application of the principles and techniques of economic analysis to managerial problems. Microeconomics –demand –production and cost –market structure Management Science –Marginal Analysis and Calculus Econometrics –Regression Analysis

Relationship of Managerial Economics to Business School Curriculum n Integrating Course that treats the firm as a whole rather than as individual functional areas operations finance marketing n Technique Course

What do you get out of the course? n Better Decisionmaking skills Understanding of the role of business Understanding of economic analysis

Course Outline n Introduction Organizational Goals –Profit Maximization Principal Agent Problems Supply and Demand Analysis n Demand n Production and Cost n Markets Market Structure Pricing Practices Regulation

Requirements and Preparation for Course n Some calculus n Text and class discussion will present alternative treatments of most course material. n Exams will use some calculus.

What is Economics ? n Firms exist to allocate society’s resources efficiently and equitably n The study of resource allocation 1.What goods will be produced –what market to serve –how differentiated should the products be –what price to charge 2. How goods will be produced –what mix of inputs to use in production 3. Who gets the goods that are produced Common framework for analyzing these issues is called the economic problem.

What is the ‘Economic Problem’? n The ECONOMIC PROBLEM is the problem of allocating resources to achieve objectives while satisfying constraints: –scarcity –requirement –feasibility

What is the ‘Economic Problem’? n Different groups have different objectives Firms maximize profits constrained by –demand (consumer preferences), –production (technological production possibilities), –competition (competitive responses), –government (regulatory or fiscal measures) Consumers maximize utility –prices and other characteristics of goods –income Governments maximize social welfare

Framework for Managerial Economics n Firm Objectives n Firm Constraints n Decision Rule Generalizations

Firm Objectives 1. Profit Maximization: the difference between revenues and costs over a multiperiod planning horizon n V =  (TR t -TC t )/(1+i) t t=0 where V = long term profits or the value of the firm TR t = total revenues in year t, TC t = total costs in year t, and i = the discount rate, and n = the number of periods.

Discounting Example n V =  (TR t -TC t )/(1+i) t t=0 Discount rate (i) = 0.06 Two courses of action: A and B If A is chosen, outflow of $1 million this year (t=0) and inflows of $300,000 for each of next 5 years. V = -1,000, , , , , ,000 = $263, If B is chosen, outflow of $1 million this year (t=0) and inflows of $260,000 for each of next 6 years. V = -1,000, , , , , , ,000 =$278,

Solving Using an Excel Worksheet n Enter annual revenues (TR) and costs (TC) as columns n Create profits column (TR-TC) by subtracting costs (TC) from revenues (TR) n Create discounted profits column by dividing (TR- TC) by (1.06) raised to the year n Sum discounted profits to get value (V)

Gaming: Profits depend on your decision and your competitor’s decision n Profits depends on your choices A or B as well as choices of competitor choices C or D n First, assume decisions are made simultaneously n Do you have a dominant strategy? Play it. n Does your competitor have a dominant strategy? Assume s/he will use. n Prisoners’ dilemma n What if you can lead?

Example in which your leadership can increase your (and competitor) profits n Assume You or Competitor will become leader (who goes first) n If competitor leads, they choose D If they choose D, you choose B, their payoff is 200 and yours is 225 If they choose C, you choose A, their payoff is 175 and yours is 300 n If you lead, you choose B If you choose A, they choose D, your payoff is 200 and theirs is 250 If you choose B, they choose C, your payoff is 250, and theirs is 250 n We’re better off leading and their better off following n More in McGuigan, Moyer, and Harris, Chapter 14 (which, unfortunately, we cannot cover in detail in our class)

A twist on a current Madison issue: setting transit fares Wisconsin State Journal 1/12/2000: Bus Fare increase to $1.50 Proposed Suppose our objective is to minimize the transit deficit in Madison.  =Total Revenues (TR) - Total Cost (TC) ExistingProposed Total Cost ($ mil./yr.) TC Fare ($/passenger) P Ridership (mil./yr.) Q 10 9

P – 1.50 = ( )(Q - 9) (9 – 10) (9 – 10) TC – 23 = (23 – 25) (Q – 9) (9 – 10) (9 – 10) n n Price v. Ridership: P = Q Total Revenue TR = P  Q = 3.75Q -.25 Q 2 n n Total Cost v. Ridership:TC = Q n n Profit or Deficit = Total Revenue – Total Cost = (P  Q - TC) = 3.75Q -.25 Q Q n n Two approaches: 1. For various prices and quantities, pick Q to minimize deficit 2. Find Q where marginal profits equal 0 marginal revenue equals to marginal cost P = $2.875 and Q = 3.5

Price v. Ridership P – 1.50 = ( )(Q - 9) (9 – 10) (9 – 10) P = Q Total Revenue TR = P  Q = 3.75Q -.25 Q 2 Total Cost v. Ridership: TC – 20 = (20 – 22) (Q – 9) (9 – 10) (9 – 10) TC = Q Profit or Deficit = Total Revenue – Total Cost  = (P  Q - TC)  = 3.75Q -.25 Q Q Two approaches: 1. Enumeration a. Select various prices (P’s) b. Determine corresponding quantities (Q’s) and Profits (  ’s) c. Pick price (P*) that minimizes deficit 2. Find Q and P such that Marginal Profits = 0 marginal revenue = marginal cost  TR/  Q = Q =  TC/  Q = 2 P = $2.875 and Q = 3.5 $ P Q Q TC 5 2

P (Price) = Q TR = P  Q = 3.75Q -.25 Q 2 TC = Q

Calculus of Profit Maximization: Marginal Profits = 0

Calculus of Profit Maximization: Marginal Revenue=Marginal Cost

Marginal Cost Marginal Revenue Total Cost TotalRevenue Total Profits

What’s wrong with our solution? n We may be pursuing the wrong objective n Our cost and demand estimates may be incorrect n Look at alternative pricing structures n Look at quality variations of the service n Change the technology n...

Why do profits vary across firms and industries? 1. RISK 2. FRICTION 3. MONOPOLY 4. INNOVATION 5. MANAGERIAL EFFICIENCY

2. Alternatives to Profit Maximization a. Management Utility Maximization b. Growth c. Long Run Survival d. Revenue Maximization e. Satisficing

Agency Costs n Stockholder and managers may have different objectives job security or personal wealth may be pursued by managers rather than pursuing stockholder wealth maximization Stockholder lack knowledge of managers Random events may obscure managerial effectiveness and results n Agency costs costs to provide incentive for managers to pursue stockholder goals monitoring cost

CEO Incentives- It’s Not How Much You Pay, But How Michael C. Jensen and Kevin J. Murphy Harvard Business Review Article

Agency Theory n Compensation policy ties the agent’s (CEO’s) expected utility to the principal’s (Shareholders’) objective CEO objective is to maximize his/her expected utility Shareholder’s objective is to maximize the long term profits of the firm n In the early ‘80s, Jensen found the CEO pay- performance relationship is weak a project that reduces the firm’s value (by $10 million) would be adopted if CEO’s pay increases (by $32,000).

Three policies that create the right monetary incentives for CEO’s to maximize the value of their companies: n Boards can require that CEOs become substantial owners of company stock n Salaries, bonuses, and stock options can be structured so as to provide big rewards for superior performance n The threat of dismissal for poor performance can be made real

Salomon Brothers CEO Compensation Plan ANNUAL BONUS, IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS Salomon Brothers’ return on equity 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% +10 $1 $2.5 $7 $12 $17 $ $0.5 $2 $6 $ 9 $12 $17 0 $0 $1.5 $5 $ 7 $ 9 $ $0 $1 $4 $ 6 $ 8 $ $0 $0.5 $3 $ 4 $ 5 $ 7 Salomon Brothers' return on equity vs. competition

Michael Eisner and Disney n Old Structure Salary of $750,000 plus $750,000 signing bonus 2% of the dollar amount by which net income exceeds a return of 9% on shareholder equity Option on 2 million shares of Disney stock purchase within 5 years at $14 n Eisner’s compensation over time: $2.6 million in 1986 $41 million in 1988 $202 million in 1993 $565 million in 1997 –5.5 million shares at $17.14 –1.8 million shares at $19.64 Disney closed at $95.19

Eisner’s Newer Compensation Package (1997): Three Elements n Annual base salary $750,000 n Cash bonus based on growth in earning per share EPS ‘Base eps’ based on the average of ’97 and ’98 eps –required to be in range of $2.75 to $3.25 –Target for ’99 is base eps x and increase 7.5 % annually –Bonus Percentage offsets anticipated compound growth in earnings % % % % % % % % –Bonus = (Actual EPS-Target EPS)(No. of shares)(Bonus Percentage) n Option on 8 million shares on 9/30/96 5 million expire on 9/30/2008 and carry exercise price of $63.31 and 3 million on 9/30/2011 –one million have exercise price of $ x $63.31 –one million have exercise price of $ x $63.31 –one million have exercise price of $ x $63.31

This Is Not Michael Eisner's Pay Stub…, Fortune; Jun 8, 1998; n Between arrival in 1984 and 1998 company's share price outperformed the S&P 500, and the wealth of Disney shareholders increased more than $80 billion. n His options (exercised and unexercised) are valued $1.43 billion.