Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Lecture 20 April 6, 2006.

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Presentation transcript:

Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Lecture 20 April 6, 2006

Economics 1722 Outline: (1)Berry (1997), Easterly (2001) on structural adjustment (2)Leonard and Strauss (2003)

Economics 1723 International policy changes in the 1980s International donors, like the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (the “Bretton Woods Institutions”) began imposing conditionality on loans, in the form of economic reforms The package of reforms they advocated became known as structural adjustment

Economics 1724 The Case of Ghana in the 1980s-1990s

Economics 1725 Map of Africa

Economics 1726 The Case of Ghana in the 1980s-1990s Structural adjustment reforms in Ghana, 1980s: – Agricultural price controls reduced, agricultural marketing boards gradually downsized or disbanded (including “Cocobod”) – Foreign exchange controls and tariffs reduced – State bureaucrats and industrial sector workers laid off, state enterprises downsized

Economics 1727 Structural Adjustment Impacts Benefits of Structural Adjustment in Ghana: – Economic growth increased (becoming slightly positive, 1-2% annual per capita growth). Average growth from was -1.6% – Agricultural production began growing again – Imports and exports (including in agriculture) grew – Inflation fell to low levels – Budget deficits reduced – Growth in “civil society”, civic organizations

Economics 1728 Berry (1997) on agriculture in central Ghana Berry studies the Kumawu region, in Ashanti territory Did Structural Adjustment “work” in Ghana? For whom?

Economics 1729 Berry (1997) on agriculture in central Ghana Berry studies the Kumawu region, in Ashanti territory Did Structural Adjustment “work” in Ghana? For whom? (1) More exposure to market price fluctuations (2) Less access to formal credit in rural areas

Economics Berry (1997) on agriculture in central Ghana Berry studies the Kumawu region, in Ashanti territory Did Structural Adjustment “work” in Ghana? For whom? (1) More exposure to market price fluctuations (2) Less access to formal credit in rural areas (3) “Land property rights” reforms largely unsuccessful

Economics Berry (1997) on agriculture in central Ghana Berry studies the Kumawu region, in Ashanti territory Did Structural Adjustment “work” in Ghana? For whom? (1) More exposure to market price fluctuations (2) Less access to formal credit in rural areas (3) “Land property rights” reforms largely unsuccessful (4) Economic growth still negative on the continent as a whole (the reforms can’t be *that* successful) (5) An assault on national sovereignty?

Economics Easterly (2001) on failed reforms in Africa Countries received dozens of loans without actually implementing any reforms (e.g., Zambia, Ivory Coast)

Economics Map of Africa

Economics Countries received dozens of loans without actually implementing any reforms (e.g., Zambia, Ivory Coast) Lenders (like the World Bank) have incentives to make large loans, but few incentives to carry out evaluations of their programs Easterly (2001) on failed reforms in Africa

Economics Countries received dozens of loans without actually implementing any reforms (e.g., Zambia, Ivory Coast) Lenders (like the World Bank) have incentives to make large loans, but few incentives to carry out evaluations of their programs There is basically no cross-country empirical evidence that increased foreign aid improves economic performance in less developed countries (despite claims by Jeff Sachs) Easterly (2001) on failed reforms in Africa

Economics In fact foreign aid may have negative effects on economic policy, local politics, and ultimately growth: “Over time, foreign aid also contributes to weak states. Rather than developing domestically oriented institutions, Africa’s state officials orient their actions externally. … Western aid is sometimes thought of as a restorative response to colonialism and the slave trade. However, Africa’s high levels of ODA [overseas development assistance] had effectively extended colonial patterns of governance.” (page 30) Leonard and Strauss (2003) on debt and aid

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Economics Map of Africa