ELECTIONS DISAD PATRIOT CLASSIC 2012 JOMEL J. ANGAT.

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Essential Question: In what ways did the 2000 election & the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks impact America during the presidency of George W Bush?

Essential Question: In what ways did the 2000 election & the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks impact America during the presidency of George W Bush?

Essential Question: In what ways did the 2000 election & the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks impact America during the presidency of George W Bush?

Presentation transcript:

ELECTIONS DISAD PATRIOT CLASSIC 2012 JOMEL J. ANGAT

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS – THE CONSEQUENCE OF THE PLAN KEY QUESTION: How does the affirmative impact the presidential election???

THE FIRST NEGATIVE – OPTION 1: OBAMA GOOD/ROMNEY BAD A)OBAMA WILL WIN NOW B)THE PLAN HURTS OBAMA C)OBAMA IS GOOD – ROMNEY IS BAD

THE FIRST NEGATIVE – OPTION 2: OBAMA BAD/ROMNEY GOOD A)ROMNEY WILL WIN NOW B)THE PLAN HELPS OBAMA C)OBAMA IS BAD – ROMNEY IS GOOD

THE STRENGTHS OF THE ELECTIONS DISAD LOTS OF UPDATED EVIDENCE EVERYTHING IS COMPARTMENTALIZED – MAKING IT EASY FOR THE NEGATIVE TO EXTEND (LINK, UNIQUENESS, IMPACTS) BIG IMPACTS IMPACT DIVERSITY FUN AND INTERESTING/TIMELY – SPURS ACTIVISM FOR YOUR CANDIDATE

THE WEAKNESSES OF THE ELECTIONS DISAD LOTS OF UPDATED EVIDENCE?!? TENDS TO TAKE AWAY FROM THE OVERALL TOPIC – DOES IT REALLY MATTER WHAT THE RESOLUTION WAS THIS YEAR UNTIL NOVEMBER??? NEED TO BE ABLE TO CONTROL THE LINK NARRATIVE POSSIBLITY OF HAVING TO DEBATE TOO MANY IMPACTS UTILITY ENDS THE FIRST WEEK IN NOVEMBER

UNIQUENESS DEBATE – THE HOW? TYPEEXAMPLE POLLSGALLUP, RASMUSSEN, PEW, AP MODELSLICHTMAN’S KEYS, YAHOO’S, MOODY’S ANALYTICS INDICATORSSTOCK MARKET, PUBLIC POPULARITY SWING/BATTLEGROUN D STATES OHIO, FLORIDA, PENNSYLVANIA, VIRGINIA, MICHIGAN, NORTH CAROLINA SWING VOTERSWOMEN, AFRICAN AMERICANS, RELIGIOUS, INDEPENDENTS, LATINO FUNDRAISINGWHO HAS THE ADVANTAGE? LOBBY SUPPORTJEWISH (AIPAC), LATINO LOBBY, AFL-CIO SUPERPAC SUPPORTPRIORITIES USA (OBAMA), RESTORE OUR FUTURE (ROMNEY), MANY OTHERS WHY ARE MODELS BETTER THAN POLLS?

LINK DEBATE – THE WHY? OBAMA GOOD/ROMNEY BADOBAMA BAD/ROMNEY GOOD Funding transportation is unpopularFunding transportation is popular Infra spending seen as wasteful, spurs fiscal backlash Infra key to jobs, jobs key to election/unemployment internal link Plan causes tax increases, plunges Obama’s support Infra gives Obama a good econ message Plan spun as anti-environment, hurts Obams’s base support Trans invest key to Florida, Florida key to the election Perceived spending outweighs economic gains AFL-CIO loves infra spending, key to labor union and business support Fiscal discipline key to: GOP base, independent/swing voters, Dem base, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania Manufacturing loves infra, key to Ohio, swing state Specific links: Highways, P3 fundingSpecific links: Airports, highways, HSR, National infra bank, mass transit, etc.

IMPACT DEBATE – THE WHAT? OBAMA GOOD/ROMNEY BADOBAMA BAD/ROMNEY GOOD EPA CO2 regs key to warming/extinctionEPA CO2 regs/economic collapse Iran strikes – “October Surprise” scenario (Obama losing causes), Strikes bad cause extinction EPA regs collapse to US agriculture, key to econ, hegemony, global starvation Iran strikes – Romney = neocon, Strikes bad cause extinction Warming good – Turn to EPA CO2 regs key to warming Romney = Space milIran strikes good – Turn to Iran strikes cause war Romney = Keystone XL pipelne Romney = Destroy US/China relations Romney = NATO expansion/US-Russia relations Romney = North Korea regime change, Asia war MORE DIVERSITY OF IMPACTSMORE DEPTH OF IMPACTS

2AC – HOW DO I ANSWER? ARGUMENT TYPEEXAMPLES DENY THE UNIQUENESSOBAMA WILL LOSE, ROMNEY WILL WIN DENY THE LINKTHE PLAN IS IRRELEVANT, IT’S THE ECONOMY STUPID (ALT CAUSE), EMPIRICALLY DENIED TURN THE LINKPLAN IS POPULAR DENY THE IMPACTOBAMA WINNING IS NOT GOOD TURN THE IMPACTOBAMA WINNING IS BAD UNIQUENESS OVERWHELMS THE LINK OBAMA WILL WIN EITHER WAY TIPS: 1) LET THE EVIDENCE DRIVE YOUR 2AC STRAT! 2) MAKE EVIDENCE DISTINCTIONS. 3)DIVERSIFY YOUR ANSWERS! 4)PLAN AHEAD FOR THE 1AR/2AR.

2NC/1NR – HOW DO I EXTEND? TIPS: 1)EVALUATE YOUR STRATEGIC CHOICES AFTER THE 2AC. IS IT MORE EFFICIENT TO MAKE STRATEGIC CONCESSIONS THAN KNOWING YOU WOULD HAVE TO INVEST MORE TIME TO WIN? OR DO YOU HAVE ANOTHER CHOICE? 2)POST DATE IS YOUR FRIEND. 3)COVER UP HOLES WITH DIVERSITY AND NUANCES. 3)SET THE STAGE FOR THE 2NR – EARLY IMPACT ASSESSMENT. 4)HOW DOES THE ELECTIONS IMPACT INTERACT WITH THE PLAN ADVANTAGES? POSSIBLY READ MORE IMPACTS??? WHY WOULD READING MORE IMPACTS IN THE 2NC/1NR BE A BAD IDEA???

OTHER THOUGHTS/KEY TERMS WHO WINS THE CONGRESS? HOW DOES THAT AFFECT THE AGENDA? COATTAILS? RUN A CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION DISAD? HOW DOES THE PLAN IMPACT THE MAKEUP OF THE CONGRESS? RUN AN ELECTION DISAD THAT IS BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT ONE SPECIFIC STATE IS KEY. EQUILIBRIUM ELECTIONS DISAD???

HOW DO I KEEP UP? RECOMMENDATIONS: GOOGLE ALERTS/NEWS LEXIS NEXUS (ACADEMIC) KEY SITES: REAL CLEAR POLITICS: NEW YORK TIMES - FIVE THIRTY EIGHT: GALLUP: POLITICO: