EMMA / METEOALARM Multiservice Meteorological Awareness System Michael Staudinger
Warnings Evacuations Disaster Cycle
1.1 Flood forecasts Austria Flood warning for Carinthia: local floodings expected from the afternoon onwards Rain and/or floods Flood information: << link Meteo << link Hydro
Tourism - numbers
Experiences from real cases 1.Aim of warnings: avoid damage >> need of user reactions 2.High % of people are often not reached (technically & by heart) 3.Relationship: Warnings - Damages/Impact 4.Keep highest level very different – really exceptional 5.Use the chances of „multihazard warning systems“
From meteorology to warnings Relationship between: meteorological thresholds (valid locally) Europe wide valid criteria (meteorologically) extent of typical damage advice for behaviour (sociocultural and administrative realities)
Austrian weather warnings till 2006
METEOALARM warning schedule Redagno 2006 Damage / ImpactWhat to do?Used how often? (Area approx km 2 ) Meteo Treshholds Rain area + damage related Green- - -usual phenomenaExamples yellowexposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities > 30 per year> 54 mm/12h orangegeneral damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities 1 to 30 per year> 80 mm/12h redextreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures less then 1 year + large (5000km2) scale phenomena > 140 mm/12h
METEOALARM warning schedule Redagno 2006 Damage / ImpactWhat to do? One word Green- - -usual phenomena Weather report yellowexposed objects (avoidable) caution with exposed activities Be aware! orangegeneral damages (not avoidable) keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities Be prepared! redextreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatning life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures Take action!
criteria at one point/station no red / lower level decision tree for „red“ area criteria (parameter) met? extreme impact possible 1 Pos feedback from civ pro? „red“ no red / lower level optional steps 1 might be caused by a combination of parameters
1.1 Decision team for „red“ (flood) Senior forecaster (teamleader) Hydrologist Board of institution Expert on climate conditions Media expert Civil protection
METEOALARM operational maps for today + tomorrow
3rd level information
Access to the METEOALARM Website Hits up to 12 Mio/day
Warning parameters Standard set of awareness situations: Wind (mean wind speed or wind gusts, or any combination) Rain (heavy rainfall in intensity or in cumulated amount) Snow/Ice (heavy snowfall, drifting snow and icing phenomena) Thunderstorms
Warning parameters Additional set of awareness situations: Fog Temperature extremes (heat or cold waves) Coastal events (such as storm surge, …) Forest Fire (risk of forest fire related to meteorological conditions) Avalanches
Homogenisation of forecasting work forecasters discussion forum
Statistics August 2007 – April 2008
Statistics August 2007 – Oktober 2008
Flood warning Carinthia: local flooding possible Rain and/or floods
Future activities: Link WMO - METEOALARM
Proposed and viable future activities: Structured integration of new partners (WMO RA VI) Connect with users / industry: RSS (CAP), user feedback Further awareness types: coastal sea effects, floods... Cooperation & other programs (SWIC, BOSS4GMES, EFAS, EFFIS, ) Cooperation with ECMWF on IDI (Impact Damage Index) For internal user group (MIC, CPA...): 5 days forecasts
XML content at present
CAP DWD warnings
Many Thanks for your attention!