INTERNATIONAL CONSISTENCY AND COMPARABILITY: TAKING IT ONE STEP FURTHER? Paul Schreyer Deputy Chief Statistician, OECD UNSC Side Event: A dialogue on how.

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INTERNATIONAL CONSISTENCY AND COMPARABILITY: TAKING IT ONE STEP FURTHER? Paul Schreyer Deputy Chief Statistician, OECD UNSC Side Event: A dialogue on how International Agencies can better collaborate with National Statistical Authorities New York, March 4, 2014

Improving international consistency Alignment of international standards (e.g. SNA 2008, BPM6, GFS Manual, etc.) Alignment of templates for international data collection Cooperation on data processing and validation Alignment of tools for data exchange (SDMX)  Reducing respondent burden of countries  Improving efficiency across international organisations  Improving consistency of data internationally published 2

But is it enough? Various initiatives have been put into place, which most certainly will improve the situation Time-consuming process with many issues to be solved down the road But is it enough? Example of two policy relevant and politically sensitive headline indicators: –General Government Deficit as % of GDP –General Government Debt as % of GDP 3

Comparison A reasonably sophisticated user has taken a look at various sources: Eurostat, Tables on Government Finance IMF, Government Finance Statistics (market value and face value) IMF, World Economic Outlook OECD, National Accounts at a Glance OECD, Economic Outlook 4

5 Government Deficit 2010 Differences between highest and lowest result, in %-points of GDP

6 Government Debt 2010 Differences between highest and lowest result, in %-points of GDP

7 Government Debt 2010 Differences between highest and lowest result, as % of the highest

Taking a closer look at government debt Major differences in definition of debt (not always that well documented): –All liabilities excluding unfunded pension liabilities –All liabilities excluding shares and financial derivatives –Currency and deposits, securities other than shares and loans Differences in valuation: market value, nominal value and face value (may be important for some countries, with major changes over time of market interest rate on government securities) Other differences (differences in sources, lack of alignment to international standards, sometimes even differences due to reporting agency) 8

How to improve the situation? Better international alignment of definitions and dissemination of certain indicators Including much better metadata: –Especially for the most frequently used and debated indicators –Most certainly including information on divergence from international standard definition Last but not least: discussion with countries on remaining unexplainable differences, and on dissemination of indicators 9

Thank you for your attention! 10