Systemic Onset Juvenile Rheumatoid Arthritis (SOJRA) Children present with spiking fevers, rash, enlarged liver / spleen, lymphadenopathy, systemic inflammation, and arthritis 50 % Remission
Predictor discovery in training set 1 sample set A (11 F, 10 Q) PAM Classifier training analysis Cross-validation Biomarker panels Study Design Gaussian LDA Class prediction in testing set 3 sample set B (10 F, 10 Q) PAM Class prediction ROC curve analysis Power analysis Sample size estimation 2 Select optimum panel Unsupervised clustering
Figure 4 Training AUC = 0.97 SJIA F Q classifier 29 feature panel Testing AUC = 0.73 Sensitivity 1- Specificity Goodness of class separation – probability Feature# * Flare Quiescent A B
Sample set A + B n = Clinical diagnosis FQ n = Clustered as F Clustered as Q Percent Agreement with clinical diagnosis 81% 85% % Overall P = 3 X SJIA FSJIA Q 2d cluster *** * SJIA Q with impending F * SJIA F with impending Q
F F (low)QF 11/0612/0602/0704/07 Diagnosis Clinical visit date Peptide signal ESR JC Ferritin CRP N.D.
11/0612/0602/0704/07 Clinical visit date F F (low)QF Diagnosis PO pred Peptide Signal
11/0612/0602/0704/07 F F (low)QF Diagnosis Clinical visit date WBC PLT Peptide signal
11/0612/0602/0704/07 Clinical visit date F F (low)QF Diagnosis Peptide Signal MTX dose