Scientific Method
My 4 out of 5 Rule
If you make an observation
Develop a hypothesis to explain it
Then carry our further experiments to test the validity of your Hypothesis
…5 would be good!
If 4 observations out of 5 fit
You are almost certainly right
If only 1 out of 5 fits
Your are almost certainly wrong
In fact if 4/5 fit there is a 99.9% probability that the experiment that does not fit is in error in some way
… and you have a true theory, a Law that works and a fact