Time Value of Money.

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Presentation transcript:

Time Value of Money

Time Value of Money Suppose your brother or sister owed you $500. Would you rather have this money repaid to you right away, in one payment, or spread out over a year in four installment payments? Would it make a difference either way?

Time Value of Money You would probably be better off getting your money right away, in one payment. You could invest this money and earn interest on it or you could use this money to pay off an all or part of a loan. The time value of money refers to the fact that a dollar in hand today is worth more than a dollar promised at some future time.

Time Value of Money Recall the concept of opportunity cost … The cost of any decision includes the cost of the best-forgone opportunity. If you pay $10.00 for a movie ticket, your cost of attending the movie is not just the ticket price, but also the time and cost of what else you might have enjoyed doing instead of the movie. Applying this concept to the $500 owed to you, you see that getting the money in installments will saddle you with opportunity cost. By taking the money over time, you lose the interest on your investment or any other use for the initial $500, such as spending it on something you would have enjoyed more.

Process First, consider future value. Future value (FV) refers to the amount of money to which an investment will grow over a finite period of time at a given interest rate. Future value is the cash value of an investment at a particular time in the future.

Process Investing For a Single Period: Suppose you invest $100 in a savings account that pays 10 percent interest per year. In one year, you will have $110. This $110 is equal to your original principal of $100 plus $10 in interest. We say that $110 is the future value of $100 invested for one year at 10 percent. If you invest for one period at an interest rate r, your investment will grow to (1 + r) per dollar invested. In our example, r is 10 percent, so your investment grows to 1 + .10 = 1.10 dollars per dollar invested. You invested $100 in this case, so you ended up with $100 x 1.10 = $110.

Process Investing For More Than One Period: Consider your $100 investment that has now grown to $110. If you keep that money in the bank, you will earn $110 x.10 = $11 in interest after the second year, making a total of $110 + $11 = $121. This $121 is the future value of $100 in two years at 10 percent. Another way of looking at it is that one-year from now, you are effectively investing $110 at 10 percent for a year. This is a single-period problem, so you will end up with $1.10 for every dollar invested, or $110 x1.1 = $121 total.

Process The process of leaving the initial investment plus any accumulated interest in a bank for more than one period is called compounding. Compounding the interest means earning interest on interest so we call the result: compound interest. With simple interest, the interest is not reinvested, so interest is earned each period is on the original principal only.

Interest on Interest... Suppose you locate a two-year investment that pays 14 percent per year. If you invest $325, how much will you have at the end of two years? √ At the end of the first year, you will have $325 x (1 + .14) = $370.50. √ If you reinvested this entire amount, and thereby compound the interest, you will have $370.50 x 1.14 = $422.37 at the end of the second year.

Year One $370.50 Year Two $422.37 Year Three $481.50 The total interest you earn is $422.37 — 325 = $97.37. Your $325 original principal earns $325 x .14 = $45.50 in interest each year, for a two-year total of $91 in simple interest. The remaining $97.37 -- 91 = $6.37 results from compounding. How much will you have in the third year? $422.37 x 1.14 + $481.50 Another $45.50 in simple interest and $13.63 in compounded interest = $ 481.50

Suppose you go in for an interview for a part-time job. The boss offers to pay you $50 a day for a 5-day, 10-week position OR you can earn only one cent on the first day but have your daily wage doubled every additional day you work. Which option would you take?

Option One $2500 $50 * 5 days * 10 weeks Option Two $5,629,499,534,213.12

i = the interest rate per period n= the number of compounding periods FV= PV(1 + i) N FV = Future Value PV = Present Value i = the interest rate per period n= the number of compounding periods What is the future value of $34 in 5 years if the interest rate is 5%? FV= PV( 1 + i ) n FV= $ 34 ( 1+ .05 )5 FV= $ 34 (1.2762815) FV= $43.39

You can go backwards too! I will give you $1000 in 5 years. How much money should you give me now to make it fair to me? You think a good interest rate would be 6%. FV= PV ( 1 + i ) N $1000 = PV ( 1 + .06) 5 $1000 = PV (1.338) $1000 / 1.338 = PV $ 747.38 = PV So you give me $747.38 today and in 5 years I'll give you $1000. Sound fair?? You will get 6% interest on your money.