FAA Identifier: CAE Lat/Long: N / W N / W / (estimated) Elevation: 236 ft. / 71.9 m (surveyed) Variation: 05W (1985) From city: 5 miles SW of COLUMBIA, SC

 KCAE Z 12010KT 10SM SCT037 BKN130 27/16 A2977 RMK AO2 SLP078 T  =  KCAE Z 14006KT 10SM SCT037 BKN130 26/16 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP067 T =  KCAE Z 12005KT 6SM -RA FEW060 SCT090 BKN110 24/17 A2973 RMK AO2 RAB39  SLP064 P0000 T =  KCAE Z 15019G25KT 1 1/4SM +RA FEW012 BKN028 OVC090 23/18 A2975 RMK AO2  RAE1959B26 P0000=  KCAE Z 15019G25KT 1 1/4SM +RA FEW012 BKN028 OVC090 23/18A2975=  KCAE Z 18004KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT020 BKN034 OVC049 21/19 A2975 RMK AO2  RAE1959B26 P0042 RVRNO=  KCAE Z 00000KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT020 BKN034 OVC045 21/19 A2974 RMK AO2  RAE1959B26 SLP070 P T RVRNO=  KCAE Z 18004KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT020 BKN034 OVC049 21/19 A2975=  KCAE Z 00000KT 3/4SM +RA BR SCT020 BKN034 OVC045 21/19 A2974=  KCAE Z 00000KT 3SM -RA BR BKN023 OVC065 21/18 A2973 RMK AO2 P0013=  KCAE Z 00000KT 2SM +RA BR BKN023 BKN050 OVC065 21/19 A2973 RMK AO2 P0016  $=  KCAE Z 00000KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW029 BKN046 OVC060 20/19 A2971 RMK AO2  SLP060 P0026 T $=  KCAE Z 06006KT 3SM +RA BR SCT004 BKN019 OVC034 21/19 A2968 RMK AO2 SLP049  P0004 T $=  KCAE Z 09007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT006 BKN009 OVC029 21/19 A2968 RMK AO2 SLP048  P T $=  KCAE Z 09004KT 8SM BR BKN016 OVC039 21/19 A2966 RMK AO2 RAE44 SLP041  P0001 T $=  KCAE Z COR 09004KT 6SM BR BKN016 OVC039 21/19 A2966 RMK AO2 RAE44 SLP041  P0001 T $=  KCAE Z 09004KT 8SM BR BKN016 OVC039 21/19 A2966=  KCAE Z 05003KT 3SM +RA BR FEW005 SCT009 OVC018 20/19 A2964 RMK AO2 RAB11  SLP035 P0028 T $=  KCAE Z 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC008 21/19 A2962 RMK AO2 CIG 006V010 SLP029  P T $=

 KCAE Z 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC008 21/19 A2962 RMK AO2 CIG 006V010 SLP029  P T $=  KCAE Z 02005KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR FEW005 BKN010 OVC014 19/18 A2960 RMK AO2  SLP020 P0001 T $=  KCAE Z 00000KT 2 1/2SM BR OVC005 19/19 A2956 RMK AO2 RAE56 SLP009 P0001  T $=  KCAE Z 00000KT 2SM BR OVC003 19/19 A2956 RMK AO2 P0002 $=  KCAE Z VRB03KT 2SM -RA BR OVC003 19/19 A2955 RMK AO2 RAB27E37B55 SLP003  P T $=  KCAE Z 03003KT 3SM RA BR OVC005 19/18 A2954 RMK AO2 P0012 $=  KCAE Z 04003KT 6SM -RA BR OVC006 19/18 A2952 RMK AO2 SLP993 P0019  T $=  KCAE Z 05004KT 10SM OVC006 19/18 A2949 RMK AO2 RAE56 SLP983 P0000  T $=  KCAE Z 06005KT 9SM OVC006 19/18 A2946 RMK AO2 RAB31E40 CIG 004V008 SLP974  P T $=  KCAE Z 07005KT 5SM -RA BR OVC004 18/17 A2945 RMK AO2 RAB06 P0001 $=  KCAE Z 06006KT 2SM RA BR OVC004 18/17 A2944 RMK AO2 RAB06 SLP968 P0007  T $=  KCAE Z 07004KT 4SM -RA BR OVC007 18/17 A2944 RMK AO2 P0003=  KCAE Z 04005KT 3SM -RA BR OVC007 18/17 A2944 RMK AO2 SLP967 P0003  T =  KCAE Z 05004KT 2SM -RA BR BKN007 OVC015 18/17 A2944 RMK AO2 P0000=  KCAE Z 07005KT 1SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN010 OVC015 18/17 A2943 RMK AO2 P0002  RVRNO=  KCAE Z 07005KT 3/4SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN010 OVC015 18/17 A2943 RMK AO2  P0002 RVRNO=  KCAE Z 06004KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN005 BKN010 OVC039 18/17 A2942 RMK AO2  SLP962 P T =

 Warm advection is a much more efficient lifting mechanism than a wedge of cold advection.  Check water temperatures offshore to get a sense of the quantity of moisture available.  Convection requires cooling aloft, a massive warm advection will stabilize upper levels.

FAA Identifier: FMY Lat/Long: N / W N / W / (estimated) Elevation: 17 ft. / 5.2 m (surveyed) Variation: 03W (1990) From city: 3 miles S of FORT MYERS, FL

 KFMY Z 13013G21KT 4SM RA BR BKN110 23/22 A2968 RMK AO2 PRESFR SLP052 P  T =  KFMY Z 14011G19KT 5SM RA BR BKN110 24/22 A2965 RMK AO2 SLP043 P0015 T =  KFMY Z 15008G18KT 10SM -RA FEW011 SCT050 BKN110 24/23 A2962 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW SLP033  P0012 T =  KFMY Z 12012G18KT 5SM VCTS RA BR FEW014 SCT055 OVC090 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW AND  W TSB16 P0001=  KFMY Z 14015G23KT 2 1/2SM RA BR SCT012 BKN080 OVC100 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW AND  W TSB16E31 P0003=  KFMY Z 14013G20KT 2SM VCTS +RA BR FEW012 BKN070 OVC090 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W  TSB16E31B34 P0007=  KFMY Z 13007G16KT 1SM VCTS +RA BR FEW012 BKN037 OVC075 24/23 A2961 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE  AND W TSB16E31B34 P0017=  KFMY Z 10010KT 1SM VCTS +RA BR FEW012 BKN033 OVC095 24/23 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W-NE  TSB16E31B34 SLP023 P T =  KFMY Z 10023G34KT 3/4SM VCTS +RA BR FEW017 OVC026 24/23 A2953 RMK AO2 PK WND 10034/2111  PRESFR P0031=  KFMY Z 15015G35KT 3/4SM +RA BR BKN015 OVC024 24/23 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 10035/2113 LTG  DSNT N TSE15 P0058=  KFMY Z 22009G27KT 180V240 1/2SM +RA FG BKN013 BKN018 OVC024 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND  10035/2113 WSHFT 2109 LTG DSNT N AND W TSE15 PRESRR P0070=  KFMY Z 22014G24KT 1/4SM +RA FG BKN009 OVC016 24/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 10035/2113 WSHFT  2109 LTG DSNT N AND W TSE15 P0109=  KFMY Z 21013G23KT 1SM RA BR BKN011 OVC016 25/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 10035/2113 WSHFT  2109 LTG DSNT NE TSE15 P0171=  KFMY Z 21010G23KT 3SM RA BR OVC011 25/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 10035/2113 WSHFT 2109 LTG  DSNT NE TSE15 P0173=  KFMY Z 22009G23KT 3SM -RA BR OVC011 25/23 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 10035/2113 WSHFT 2109 LTG  DSNT NE TSE15 SLP026 P0173 T =  KFMY Z 20014G22KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN011 BKN014 OVC037 25/24 A2960 RMK AO2 P0003=  KFMY Z 20016G28KT 5SM -RA BR SCT011 OVC039 25/23 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 21028/2211 LTG DSNT  NE AND NW P0003=  KFMY Z 20014G25KT 4SM -RA BR BKN011 OVC039 25/23 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 21028/2211 LTG DSNT  NE AND NW P0003=  KFMY Z 20011G24KT 4SM RA BR SCT011 BKN039 OVC047 25/23 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 21028/2211  LTG DSNT NW P0004=  KFMY Z 20014G22KT 5SM -RA BR FEW015 BKN028 OVC034 26/24 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 21028/2211  SLP029 P0004 T =  KFMY Z 19013G24KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW014 BKN030 OVC040 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 VIS 1 1/4V4  P0003=  KFMY Z 19012G19KT 3SM RA BR FEW015 BKN027 OVC032 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 P0006=  KFMY Z 19008G18KT 3SM RA BR FEW009 BKN013 OVC025 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 P0016=  KFMY Z 20010KT 3SM -RA BR FEW009 BKN026 OVC045 25/24 A2963 RMK AO2 P0021=  KFMY Z 19011G17KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT011 BKN023 OVC028 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0023  T =

 KFMY Z 19011G17KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT011 BKN023 OVC028 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2  SLP034 P T =  KFMY Z 18007G17KT 3SM -RA BR SCT012 BKN022 OVC028 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2  P0004=  KFMY Z 19011G18KT 10SM FEW014 BKN050 OVC065 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 RAE19  P0005=  KFMY Z 20011G18KT 6SM -RA BR FEW050 OVC070 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 RAE19B47  SLP035 P0005 T =  KFMY Z 20011G17KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR FEW009 SCT037 OVC070 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2  P0002=  KFMY Z 18010KT 10SM -RA FEW012 BKN033 OVC070 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 P0009=  KFMY Z 19008KT 7SM -RA SCT010 BKN018 OVC037 26/24 A2964 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT  S AND SW P0009=  KFMY Z 19008KT 7SM -RA BKN012 BKN018 OVC037 26/24 A2964 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT  S AND SW P0010=  KFMY Z 19009G20KT 7SM -RA BKN010 OVC016 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S  SLP036 P0012 T =  KFMY Z 20010G19KT 2SM RA BR SCT012 BKN039 OVC110 25/23 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT S P0009=  KFMY Z 19009G17KT 8SM -RA SCT014 BKN039 OVC120 25/23 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT S P0010=  KFMY Z 19011G16KT 10SM SCT008 BKN014 OVC047 25/24 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT  S RAE21 P0010=  KFMY Z 20013G24KT 9SM SCT010 SCT017 BKN036 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 PK WND  21026/0243 LTG DSNT S AND SW RAE21 SLP032 P T =  KFMY Z 20017G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW010 BKN038 BKN075 25/23 A2962 RMK AO2  PK WND 21029/0307 LTG DSNT SE AND S RAB18 P0007=  KFMY Z 20019G32KT 3SM VCTS -RA BR FEW010 SCT039 BKN048 25/23 A2962 RMK  AO2 PK WND 22032/0333 LTG DSNT SE AND S TSB32RAB18 P0007=  KFMY Z 19019G32KT 1 3/4SM VCTS +RA BR FEW010 BKN037 OVC070 25/23 A2962  RMK AO2 PK WND 18032/0339 VIS 1/2V5 LTG DSNT SE AND S TSB32RAB18 P0010=  KFMY Z 20015G28KT 1 1/2SM VCTS -RA BR FEW009 BKN029 OVC070 25/23 A2962  RMK AO2 PK WND 18032/0339 LTG DSNT E-S TSB32RAB18 P0023=  KFMY Z 20014G25KT 3SM VCTS +RA BR FEW014 BKN029 OVC070 26/24 A2962 RMK  AO2 LTG DSNT E-S P0002=  KFMY Z 20015G28KT 1 1/2SM VCTS -RA BR FEW009 BKN029 OVC070 25/23 A2962  RMK AO2 PK WND 18032/0339 LTG DSNT E-S TSB32RAB18 SLP033 P0023 T =

 KFMY Z 20010KT 6SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN013 OVC018 26/24 A2963 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT E-S TSE06 P0006=  KFMY Z 19011G19KT 10SM VCTS SCT009 BKN017 OVC040 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT S AND SW TSE06B28RAE12 P0006=  KFMY Z 19011G19KT 10SM VCTS FEW011 BKN034 OVC055 26/24 A2961 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT SE-SW TSE06B28RAE12 P0006=  KFMY Z 19012G18KT 10SM -RA FEW011 BKN036 OVC060 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT SE AND S TSE06B28E43RAE12B46 P =  KFMY Z 20012G19KT 8SM -RA SCT011 BKN034 OVC055 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT SE AND S TSE06B28E43RAE12B46 SLP031 P0006 T =  KFMY Z 18007KT 8SM -RA SCT013 BKN024 OVC045 26/24 A2962 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT  SE AND S P0001=  KFMY Z 20013G18KT 4SM RA BR SCT015 BKN034 OVC046 26/24 A2961 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT SE AND S P0003=  KFMY Z 20011G19KT 6SM -RA BR FEW009 BKN019 OVC037 26/24 A2961 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT E-S P0005=  KFMY Z 20012G17KT 8SM -RA SCT013 BKN027 OVC036 26/24 A2960 R  KFMY Z 20012G17KT 8SM -RA SCT013 BKN027 OVC036 26/24 A2960 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT E AND SE SLP026 P T =  KFMY Z 20010KT 9SM SCT011 BKN031 OVC046 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S  RAE0555 P0000=  KFMY Z 21009KT 9SM SCT011 BKN027 OVC048 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S  RAE0555 P0000=  KFMY Z 21009G17KT 10SM FEW011 SCT026 BKN045 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT  S RAE0555 P0000=  KFMY Z 21009KT 10SM FEW011 BKN045 OVC055 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S  RAE0555 SLP022 P0000 T =  KFMY Z 21009KT 10SM FEW017 BKN027 OVC043 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE  AND S=  KFMY Z 19010G15KT 10SM SCT009 BKN027 OVC055 26/24 A2958 RMK AO2=

 KFMY Z 20008KT 10SM BKN014 BKN022 BKN036 26/24 A2957 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE  AND S RAB31E40 SLP016 P0000 T =  KFMY Z 20007KT 9SM SCT008 BKN014 OVC050 26/24 A2957 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT E=  KFMY Z 22007KT 3SM RA BR SCT008 BKN037 OVC050 26/25 A2956 RMK AO2 RAB46  P0000=  KFMY Z 21006KT 2SM +RA BR SCT010 BKN020 OVC050 26/25 A2956 RMK AO2 RAB46  P0003=  KFMY Z 19011G17KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR SCT010 BKN020 OVC050 26/25 A2957 RMK AO2  LTG DSNT SE AND S RAB46 SLP013 P T =  KFMY Z 22008G17KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR SCT014 BKN031 OVC065 26/24 A2956 RMK AO2  LTG DSNT SE AND S P0001=  KFMY Z 22008G14KT 10SM -RA FEW017 BKN043 BKN050 26/24 A2956 RMK AO2 LTG  DSNT SE AND S P0001=  KFMY Z 20006KT 10SM FEW016 BKN022 BKN039 26/25 A2957 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE  RAE11 P0001=  KFMY Z 23007KT 6SM -RA BR FEW014 BKN019 OVC036 26/24 A2958 RMK AO2  RAE11B44 SLP020 P0001 T =  KFMY Z 22007KT 10SM FEW013 SCT028 OVC035 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 RAE02 P0001=  KFMY Z 26006KT 10SM FEW020 SCT026 26/24 A2959 RMK AO2 RAE02 SLP022 P0001  T =  KFMY Z 27007KT 10SM FEW020 26/24 A2961 RMK AO2 SLP  T =  RECORD EVENT REPORT  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL  438 AM EDT WED OCT ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT FORT MYERS...  A RECORD RAINFALL OF 4.19 INCHES WAS SET AT FORT MYERS YESTERDAY.  THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 3.95 SET IN 1959.

Excessive rainfall requires deep moisture…high PWAT and a flow from the Tropics are good starters Late season thunderstorms tend to have more wind in the South due to mixing from nearby jet stream flow