Economic Indicators
Macro-Economic Goals Economic Growth Price Stability Full Employment
Major Indicators 1. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): $ value of all final goods/services within a nation 2. Housing Starts: Construction sector activity 3. Retail Sales: Value of goods bought in retail outlets 4. Unemployment Rate: % of workers without jobs (seeking)
Major Indicators 5. Consumer Price Index (CPI): Current cost of a “market basket” of goods--> relative to cost in other years (INFLATION) How has value changed? INFLATION: general rise in prices (reduces purchasing power) 1. Hyper- severe 500%/yr (rare) 2. Galloping %/yr 3. Creeping- 1-3% (common) Ex: If in 1913 I purchased an item for.25 cents then in 2010 that same item would cost $5.50. The rate of inflation change would be $2098.3% Ex: If in 2000 I purchased an item for.25 cents then in 2010 same item would cost.32 cents. The rate of inflation change would be 26.4% Ex:
Major Indicators 6. Interest Rates: Cost of borrowing money for investments 7. Trade Balance: Trade Balance = X - M 8. Exchange Rate: Value of American money against other nations
GDP Elaboration Gross Domestic Product: Total production or output of final goods and services Intermediate Goods: Used to make final goods
Final vs. Intermediate Goods Final Goods and Services Manicures Bread Cruise missile New factory Dresses Increase in automobile inventory Intermediate Goods Window glass in new automobiles Lumber in a new house Screws used in a cruise missile Flour for making bread Cloth for making dresses DON’T COPY
GDP Only measures market production Need to be paid Ex: Not washing car or cooking dinner at home Excludes illegal activity Does NOT include 2nd hand sales Ex: Used cars “double counting”
Y= C+G+I+(X-M) Y = GDP C = Consumption G = Government Expenditures I = Investments X = Exports M = Imports
Computing GDP Most market prices increase over time (inflation) Nominal GDP: Measure using prices in current year NOT adjusted for inflation Actual prices consumers pay Real GDP: Measure using a common level of prices set in a designated “base year” Real GDPNominal GDP Year 1100 Bushels x $1.00 $ Year 2110 Bushels x $1.20 $ % Real Increase in Production 32% Nominal Increase in Production
Gross National Product (GNP) Measures total value of production for all businesses owned by citizens EX: Japanese plant in Iowa GDP not GNP