Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011 0730 CDT National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Slidell, LA.

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Presentation transcript:

Tropical Weather Update August 31, CDT National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Slidell, LA

Overview Tropical wave currently located over the northwestern Caribbean may develop further as it moves through the central and western/northwestern Gulf late this week/over the weekend Tropical wave currently located over the northwestern Caribbean may develop further as it moves through the central and western/northwestern Gulf late this week/over the weekend Main local threats: Main local threats:  Heavy rainfall  Higher than normal tides  Strong winds over the coastal waters

Tropical Weather Outlook

Satellite Image 615am

5 Day Rainfall Forecast (through Sunday morning)

Other Threats - Wind  Marine Areas:  Sustained winds increasing over the next couple days  Expect winds knots by Friday with knots over the weekend (higher gusts)  Small Craft Advisories likely  Land Areas:  Gusts 25 to 35 mph in squalls and thunderstorms

Other Threats - Tides  A prolonged period of moderate to strong easterly or southeasterly winds will lead to elevated tide levels by Friday and through the weekend  Tides may rise up to 1 to 2 feet above astronomical over the weekend (could be higher depending on how strong the winds are)

Summary  There is still much uncertainty concerning the development, eventual track, and intensity of this system. Future forecasts will continue to refine the details.  Main local threats for the northern Gulf coast will be:  heavy rainfall  higher than normal tides  strong winds over the coastal waters

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