INTERNATIONAL FORUM OF TRAVEL AND TOURISM ADVOCATES EUROPEAN SECTION SECOND IFTTA EUROPE WORKSHOP UNIVERSITY OF BALEARIC ISLANDS Palma de Mallorca, Spain, 1-3 April 2009 THE WORLD TOURISM ORGANIZATION: RESPONDING TO THE NEW CHALLENGES IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY Patrice Tedjini, Chief, UNWTO Documentation Resources and Archives

INTERNATIONAL TOURISM IN 2008

2008: turbulence and change of trend

Significant slowdown

Second half on the negative Source: World Tourism Organization Easter effect

Europe’s Performance 2008 Source: World Tourism Organization Jan-June +3% July-Dec -3% 0%

Sharp reversal of trend

Varied subregional picture

International tourism volume and receipts: in normal times growth in receipts close to growth in arrivals Asian financial and economic crisis: expenditure grew slower 11S, SARS, economic downturn: receipts more affected

INTERNATIONAL TOURISM PROSPECTS FOR 2009

1st half 2008 high commodity prices historic high oil prices rising inflation high interest rates record high euro now financial crisis credit squeeze lack of confidence global recession unemployment Concerns changed…

International Tourist Arrivals, World *Preliminary results Forecast 2009: between -2% and 0%

International Tourism 2008Forecast 2009 World2%-2% to 0% Europe0%-3% to 0% Asia and the Pacific2%0% to 3% Americas4%-1% to 2% Africa5%1% to 4% Middle East11%2% to 6%

When and how will recovery come… Source: World Tourism Organization depth? length?

In perspective…

Tourism, economy and external shocks Echo of second oil crisis / Falkland Islands (Malvinas) and Israel-Lebanon conflicts Gulf War / disintegration of Yugoslavia Asian Financial Crisis 11S Iraq, SARS 7% a year between 2004 and 2007

As in previous crises… + Travel closer to home, including domestic travel; + Visiting friends and relatives (VFR), repeat visitors, special interest and independent travellers - Length of stay and expenditure + Value for money destinations (exchange rates) + Late booking + Capacity cuts + Public and private sectors cooperation

UNWTO RESPONSE TO THE CRISIS A ROADMAP FOR RECOVERY UNWTO RESPONSE TO THE CRISIS A ROADMAP FOR RECOVERY

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC)  Created by the 84th session of the UNWTO Executive Council - October 2008  Open to all UNWTO Full and Affiliate Members and invited key players in the tourism sector

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC) OBJECTIVES  Main objective -To create a platform for Members to receive and share information on the current economic downturn and its impact on the tourism sector  Specific objectives - Collect and analyze economic and industry data to promote real time market monitoring -Encourage the exchange of information, experience, cooperation and good practice regarding response measures

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC) FUNCTIONING  TRC meets in its full constituency  TRC has a core working group composed of - ten UNWTO Full Members - six UNWTO Affiliate Members - twelve invited stakeholders (of which some are UNWTO Affiliate Members)  The Working Group aims at. Giving guidance to the work of the TRC. Contributing to the documents/reports to prepare for the full meetings of the TRC

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC) MARKET MONITORING  Online market information system exclusive for Members Latest tourism results – UNWTO World Tourism Barometer Updates Source markets performance and outlook (UNWTO/ VISA /AMADEUS) Air Transport performance (Associates/BOOZ) Economic indicators for major source market

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC) RESPONSE INFORMATION SHARING  Sharing experiences on response measures and tools The TRC meetings Online information system Focal points Network Share results of related national and regional events

UNWTO TOURISM RESILIENCE COMMITTEE (TRC) MEETINGS  1st Meeting – FITUR – Madrid, January 2009  2nd Meeting – ITB- Berlin, March 2009  3rd Meeting – 18th Session UNWTO General Assembly, Astana, Kazakhstan, October 2009

Thank you very much for your attention