Analyzing Drunk Driving Trends in Canada Thesis: A person is most likely to commit an impaired driving offence if they are: male, between the ages of 22-25,

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Presentation transcript:

Analyzing Drunk Driving Trends in Canada Thesis: A person is most likely to commit an impaired driving offence if they are: male, between the ages of 22-25, live in Saskatchewan, and are driving during weekend hours.

This graph represents a negative correlation, thus suggesting that the rate of Impaired Driving crimes has decreased since Despite this decreasing pattern, impaired driving continues to remain a dangerous concern. Today in Canada, on any given night, 25% of the drivers on the road have been drinking; 6% of which are legally impaired. It is estimated that alcohol is involved in 50% of all fatal traffic accidents and in 30% of traffic injuries, killing over 2500 people a year.

Year(x) Total impaired driving Incidents in Canada Male Offenders Males as % of Total Female Offenders Females as % of Total ,34238,66785%5,47812% ,51540,30484%8,87118% ,00239,57684%6,10212% ,03137,69483%6,00313% ,33936,91683%6,00113% ,20034,98580%5,77213% ,23333,07680%5,49313%

Mean Offences:225,588 Median Offences: 250,000 Standard Deviation: 107, 154 ● Age 22: Z Score: x- mean /sigma 450, ,588= 224,412 / 107,154 = 2.09 =98th percentile ● Age 25: Z score: x-mean / sigma 350,000 – 225, 588= 124,412 / 107,154 = 1.16 = 88th percentile

The graph proves that weekend Impaired Driving offences are much higher than weekday Driving offences. This trend is due to the social activity related to weekend driving vs. weekday driving.

 The Graph demonstrates a trend between provincial riding and impaired Driving offences.  Saskatchewan reported the highest number of offences, with 618,000, while Newfoundland reported the lowest, with 183,000.

The scatter plot demonstrates a positive correlation between the two variables. Based on this trend, it can be determined that there is a “Correlation” between the two variables. Proof of “Causation” does not exist, simply because many factors influence impaired driving offences. r=0.96 Based on the proximity of the correlation coefficient to “1”, the correlation of this graph is strong.

 Based on the the evidence presented in this report, it can be concluded that impaired driving is a prevalent and severe issue across the nation.  Through the analysis of each specific variable, it can be determined that a person is most likely to commit a crime of this nature if they are male, aged 22-25, live in Saskatchewan, and drive during weekend hours. Therefore, based on factual support, the thesis of this report has been confirmed.