1 NASA Earth-Sun System Science benefits for Society Transition from Research to Operations: Plans and Challenges on the Way Forward Ronald J. Birk Applied Sciences Program Earth-Sun System Division NASA Science Mission Directorate September 15, 2005

2 Over 6 billion people to serve….

3 NASA Observing Spacecraft for Earth- Sun System Research

4 Earth System Models

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6 Integrating Knowledge, Capacity and Systems into Solutions

7 Climate Change Science Program Climate Change Technology Program Commission on Ocean Policy Integrated Earth Observation System Administration plans and policies form a basis for a formal NASA – NOAA Research & Operations Transition Plan Commercial Remote Sensing Space Policy NASA Research Capabilities NOAA Operational Capabilities National Plans

8 National and NASA Objectives National Objective 5 – Study the Earth system from space and develop new space-based and related capabilities for this purpose. NASA Objective 14 Advance scientific knowledge of the Earth system through space- based observation, assimilation of new observations, and development and deployment of enabling technologies, systems, and capabilities, including those with potential to improve future operational systems. NASA Objective 15 Explore the Sun-Earth system to understand the Sun and its effects on Earth, the solar system, and the space environmental conditions that will be experienced by human explorers, and demonstrate technologies that can improve future operational systems.

9 Future U.S. Operational Systems NPOESS (2009)GOES-R (2012)

10 Operational Global Observing System ( MSG) POES (NPOESS) (MTSAT)

11 Observing Birth and Intensification of Deadly Cat-5 Hurricane Katrina Jeff Halverson TRMM Education and Outreach Scientist QuikSCAT Science Team, JPL Lori Perkins, NASA GSFC TRMM August 28, 10:25 pm TRMM Precipitation Radar TRMM Microwave Imager QuikSCAT Winds August 25, 4:37 AM

12 Observations to Knowledge Products “from photons to electrons to neurons”

13 Application Focus Areas and Partners

14 Joint Management Structure Transition Management Oversight Establishes framework for collaboration, sets bilateral policy and priorities, approves Transition Plan, and oversees implementation NOAA/J. Kelly NASA/Mary Cleave Ad hoc Joint Working Group Prepares overall Transition Plan, identifies Transition Capabilities, oversees development of individual implementation plans, and coordinates senior review of implementation plans NOAA/Gary Davis NASA/Ron Birk Transition Capability Teams Prepares an implementation plan for each identified Transition Capability

15 FRAMEWORK Document NASA & NOAA TRANSITION PLAN CAPABILIITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #1 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #2 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #3 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #4 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #5 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #6 R&O JWG Documentation

16 I. Framework Document Establish inventory of potential candidate capabilities Develop selection criteria Identify Processes: selections, criteria, management reviews Establish common definitions and semantics II. Transition Plan Capture candidate capabilities Apply criteria to candidates Select capabilities for development of implementation plans Establish approach for CIP teams III. Capability Implementation Plans Develop discrete plans for each capability with dedicated team of NASA and NOAA representatives Family of Documents for Research and Operations

17 Challenges on the Way Ahead Systematically transitioning appropriate NASA research results to be adopted to improve future operational systems to serve society Characterizing uncertainty in model forecasts for weather, climate, and natural hazards Benefiting from increased data handling capacity to handle volume and range of data from Earth-Sun observatories Evolving an Earth-Sun System Gateway portal to provide interoperability and access between research results and integrators

18 Heritage of Spacecraft Missions transition from Research to Operations

19 The legacy in weather systems continues… NPP (2006) CrIS/ATMS VIIRS OMPS Aqua (2002) AIRS, AMSU & MODIS METOP (2005) IASI/AMSU/MHS & AVHRR NPOESS (2009) CrIS/ATMS, VIIRS, CMIS, OMPS & ERBS Coriolis (2003) WindSat NWS/NCEP GSFC/DAO ECMWF UKMO FNMOC Meteo-France BMRC-Australia Met Serv Canada NWS/NCEP GSFC/DAO ECMWF UKMO FNMOC Meteo-France BMRC-Australia Met Serv Canada NWP Forecasts NWP Forecasts NOAA Real-Time Data Delivery Timeline Ground Station Scenario NOAA Real-time User C3S IDPS Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation Use of Advanced Sounder Data for Improved Weather Forecasting & Numerical Weather Prediction

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21 Sun-Earth Connection Missions with capabilities for Space Weather

22 Sun-Earth Connection Research Question Solar Sentinel Solar Dynamics Observatory (2008) Radiation Belt Mappers (NET 2010) Ionospheric Mappers Solar Sentinel (NET 2013) Geospace Missions How are the Sun, heliosphere, and planets connected in a single system?

23 R&O Transition Timeline The IBPD Earth-Sun System, Objective 14, states: 14.1 Transfer 30 percent of NASA developed research results and observations to operational Agencies. Pressing issues include timing and targets of opportunity: Operations 5-year Mission OSSE Budget Support R&O demo 4 yr Solicitation Cycle

24 NASA & NOAA jointly funding NRC studies on improving transition NPP NPOESS SeaWiFS TerraAqua Joint Center for Satellite Data AssimilationNCEP Short-term Prediction Research and Transition CenterNWS Observation Data Assim ACRIMsat SORCE Glory NPOESS SAGE IIIAURA NPOESS JasonOSTM NOAA/EUMETSAT Landsat 7 LDCM Operational NPOESS GIFTS* GOES Tropo Winds TBD Imaging and Sounding Solar Irradiance, Ozone, and Aerosols Ocean Surface Topography Land Cover/Land Use Change Tech In Formulation In operation Under Development Atmospheric Composition UARSAURA TBD * Canceled flight mission; gleaning technology for GOES-R Tech Development NPP Spacecraft succession plans…

25 Extending Data System Architecture Spacecraft Data Acquisition Ground Stations Science Teams (SIPS) Polar Ground Stations EOSDIS Science Data Systems (DAACs) Flight Operations, Data Capture, Initial Processing & Backup Archive Data Transport to DAACs Science Data Processing, Data Mgmt., Data Archive & Distribution Distribution, Access, Interoperability & Reuse NASA Integrated Services Network (NISN) Mission Services Data Processing & Mission Control TECHNOLOGY Research Education Value-Added Providers Interagency Data Centers International Partners Earth System Models Benchmarking DSS Measurement Teams Tracking & Data Relay Satellite (TDRS) WWW IP Internet Data Pools Earth System Models REASoNs

26 Transitioning Capabilities of Earth-Sun System Models DRY WARM VERY WET WET VERY DRY COLD JCSDA

27 Budget Authority in $ Millions Science Program Budget Summary $82.6

28 Intellectual Leadership