1 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Chapter 1 The Role of Statistics This is officially the most boring PowerPoint presentation.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Chapter 1 The Role of Statistics This is officially the most boring PowerPoint presentation of the year.

2 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Three Reasons to Study Statistics 1.Being an informed “Information Consumer”  Extract information from charts and graphs  Follow numerical arguments  Know the basics of how data should be gathered, summarized and analyzed to draw statistical conclusions

3 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Three Reasons to Study Statistics 2.Understanding and Making Decisions  Decide if existing information is adequate  Collect more information in an appropriate way  Summarize the available data effectively  Analyze the available data  Draw conclusions, make decisions, and assess the risks of an incorrect decision

4 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Three Reasons to Study Statistics 3.Evaluate Decisions That Affect Your Life  Help understand the validity and appropriateness of processes and decisions that effect your life

5 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. What is Statistics? Statistics is the science of  Collecting data  Analyzing data  Drawing conclusions from data OK, I’m tired of the flower already.

6 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Major Branches of Statistics 1.Descriptive Statistics  Organizing, Summarizing Information  Graphical techniques  Numerical techniques 2.Inferential Statistics  Estimation  Decision making

7 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms Population – The entire collection of individuals or objects about which information is desired is called the population. Collection of data from every member of the population, a census,  allows a question about the population to be definitively answered.  may be expensive, impractical, or sometimes impossible.

8 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms Sample – A sample is a subset of the population, selected for study in some prescribed manner. Using sample data rather than population data is  more practical than a census.  Gives variable results with some possibility of a wrong conclusion being adopted.

9 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Remember… Values from a population (mean, median, etc…) are called parameters. Values from a sample are called statistics. Population – Parameter Sample – Statistic

10 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Getting to Know You First fill out the information below about yourself. Then sample 25 other students and have them fill out the information. No names please. 1.Do you have a pet? If so, how many, what kind and what are they named? 2.What is your height in inches? 3.What is your pulse rate in beats per minute? 4.Are you right or left handed? 5.How many siblings do you have? 6.Choose a random number in the range 1 to What is your handspan? 8.Where is your favorite place to travel? 9.Where is your favorite place to be? 10.What do you want to be when you “grow up”.

11 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. What Makes “Statistics” Important – Can’t We Just Use Parameters? Generally it not reasonable, feasible or even possible to survey a population, so descriptions and decisions about the population are made based on using a sample. The study of statistics deals with understanding how to obtain samples and work with the sample data to make statistically justified decisions.

12 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms Variable – A variable is any characteristic whose value may change from one individual to another Examples:  Brand of television  Height of a building  Number of students in a class

13 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms Variability What is variability? Why does it occur? How can you evaluate it?  With a picture?  With numbers?

14 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms Data results from making observations either on a single variable or simultaneously on two or more variables. A univariate data set consists of observations on a single variable made on individuals in a sample or population.

15 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Important Terms A bivariate data set consists of observations on two variables made on individuals in a sample or population. A multivariate data set consists of observations on two or more variables made on individuals in a sample or population.

16 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Data Sets  A univariate data set is categorical (or qualitative) if the individual observations are categorical responses.  A univariate data set is numerical (or quantitative) if the individual observations are numerical responses where numerical operations generally have meaning.

17 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Examples of categorical Data The brand of TV owned by the six people that work in a small office RCA Magnavox Zenith Phillips GERCA … The hometowns of the 6 students in the first row of seats Mendon Victor Bloomfield Victor Pittsford Bloomfield The zipcodes* (of the hometowns) of the 6 students in the first row of seats. *Since numerical operations with zipcodes make no sense, the zipcodes are categorical rather than numeric.

18 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Types of Numerical Data Numerical data is discrete if the possible values are isolated points on the number line. Numerical data is continuous if the set of possible values form an entire interval on the number line.

19 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Examples of Discrete Data  The number of costumers served at a diner lunch counter over a one hour time period is observed for a sample of seven different one hour time periods  The number of textbooks bought by students at a given school during a semester for a sample of 16 students

20 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Examples of Continuous Data  The height of students that are taking a Data Analysis at a local university is studied by measuring the heights of a sample of 10 students. 72.1” 64.3” 68.2” 74.1” 66.3” 61.2” 68.3” 71.1” 65.9” 70.8” Note: Even though the heights are only measured accurately to 1 tenth of an inch, the actual height could be any value in some reasonable interval.

21 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Examples of Continuous Data The crushing strength of a sample of four jacks used to support trailers lb 8248 lb 9817 lb 8141 lb Gasoline mileage (miles per gallon) for a brand of car is measured by observing how far each of a sample of seven cars of this brand of car travels on ten gallons of gasoline

22 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Frequency Distributions A frequency distribution for categorical data is a table that displays the possible categories along with the associated frequencies or relative frequencies. The frequency for a particular category is the number of times the category appears in the data set.

23 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Frequency Distributions The relative frequency for a particular category is the fraction or proportion of the time that the category appears in the data set. It is calculated as When the table includes relative frequencies, it is sometimes referred to as a relative frequency distribution.

24 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Classroom Data Example This slide along with the next contains a data set obtained from a large section of students taking Data Analysis in the Winter of 1993 and will be utilized throughout this slide show in the examples.

25 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Classroom Data Example continued

26 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Frequency Distribution Example The data in the column labeled vision is the answer to the question, “What is your principle means of correcting your vision?” The results are tabulated below

27 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Bar Chart – Procedure 1.Draw a horizontal line, and write the category names or labels below the line at regularly spaced intervals. 2.Draw a vertical line, and label the scale using either frequency (or relative frequency). 3.Place a rectangular bar above each category label. The height is the frequency (or relative frequency) and all bars have the same width.

28 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Bar Chart – Example (frequency)

29 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Bar Chart – (Relative Frequency)

30 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Another Example

31 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Dotplots - Procedure 1.Draw a horizontal line and mark it with an appropriate measurement scale. 2.Locate each value in the data set along the measurement scale, and represent it by a dot. If there are two or more observations with the same value, stack the dots vertically.

32 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Dotplots - Example Using the weights of the 79 students

33 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. To compare the weights of the males and females we put the dotplots on top of each other, using the same scales. Dotplots – Example continued

34 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Remember “Getting to Know You”? What kind of data were you collecting in each case? Do you have any reason to suspect some of your data might not accurately reflect the population of MHS? What are some sources of variability in your data? Pick appropriate sets of data and make…  Two different dotplots  Two different bar graphs  A pie chart What conclusions can you draw from your graphs?

35 Copyright © 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. A discussion of the role of variability in statistics. Gummy Bears In SPACE!