Ali Çarkoğlu Public Opinion Dynamics Towards June 2015 Elections in Turkey S. Erdem Aytaç 5 May 2015.

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Presentation transcript:

Ali Çarkoğlu Public Opinion Dynamics Towards June 2015 Elections in Turkey S. Erdem Aytaç 5 May 2015

About the Study Face to face interviews with 2201 participants from 49 provinces Participants selected by means of random sampling from Address Based Population Registration System (ABPRS) Fieldwork carried out between 19 March and 26 April 2015 Sponsored by the Open Society Foundation, Koç University and Ohio State University, School of Communication

Turkey’s most important problems

Opinions about issues related to democracy

Freedom of speech Do you think people can freely express their views without fear in Turkey?

Opinions about presidential system

Support for presidential system A presidential system is a better system of government for Turkey than a parliamentary one.

Government systems in the world Today most democracies have parliamentary systems of government rather than a presidential one as in the U.S.

Opinions on a new Constitution

Do you think that Turkey needs a new Constitution?

Should the ruling and opposition parties reach a consensus for a new Constitution that Turkey needs?

Opinions on the Kurdish question/Peace process

The Kurdish issue can be resolved through the economic development of Southeastern and Eastern Anatolia rather than through the recognition of ethnic and cultural identities.

More authority/powers can be given to local administrations in order to resolve the Kurdish issue.

Primary school education should be conducted in Turkish regardless of pupils’ ethnicity.

A general amnesty applying to all armed and non-armed members of the PKK cannot be accepted, even if it would help to resolve the Kurdish issue.

The definition of citizenship in the Constitution should become more inclusive by embracing different ethnicities like Circassians, Arabs, and Kurds.

Citizens should be able to receive service from public offices in their native languages in addition to Turkish.

The ultimate goal of the Kurdish political movement in Turkey is to establish an independent state.

Opinions about repression of devout religious people and secularists, aspirations for sharia rule and threat to one’s way of life

Can Alevis freely worhip? 75% Yes, 14% No for 2015

Ideological shift,

Opinions about the leaders

Opinions about the economic situation

Perceptions on unemployment rate What is the unemployment rate in Turkey nowadays?

Perception on unemployment trends Thinking about the last 12 months, do you think the unemployment rate has been increasing, decreasing, or hovering about the same level?

Performance evaluations of the government

How successful or unsuccessfull, in your opinion, has the AKP government been in the past 4 years in the following areas?

Perceptions of corruption? Will the general elections be carried out in a fair manner?

Perceptions of Corruption

Perceptions of corruption Which of the below statements is closer to your opinion?

About the election Do you think the approaching 7 June 2015 elections will be held in a fair manner?

About the election After the votes has been cast in the upcoming election, do you believe that the votes will be counted in a fair manner?

Thanks, Questions??