Atmospheric/Oceanic Analyses and Predictions to Support NJ’s Energy Master Plan and Associated Offshore Wind (OSW) Renewable Energy Regulations Innovative.

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Presentation transcript:

Atmospheric/Oceanic Analyses and Predictions to Support NJ’s Energy Master Plan and Associated Offshore Wind (OSW) Renewable Energy Regulations Innovative Analytical/Predictive Modeling Applications that will Cost- Effectively Reduce the “Risks” Associated with Offshore Wind Development Issues Including Wind Resource Variability, Energy Transmission/Distribution Reliability, Environmental/Health Impact, and Educational/Economic Development Incentives

Domain and WTG Size North Zone South Zone 6 MW WTG

Generic Power Curve – 6 MW WTG

3000 MW1998 MW 1098 MW

Hypothetical WTG Array Showing 10D X12D Spacing with a “Staggard” C Hypothetical WTG Array Showing 10D X12D Spacing with a “Staggard” Configuration to Account for Prevailing Winds along with the effects of the Sea breeze Circulation onfiguration to Account for Prevailing Winds along with the effects of the Sea breeze Circulation

Meteorological Tower Meteorological BuoyOffshore vertical LIDAR Coastal/Offshore Scanning LIDAR Infrared SatelliteCoastal Radar (CODAR) Coastal/Offshore Wind Monitoring

Chesapeake Light Tower Current Future

Local Wind Resource Perturbations Sea breeze and local wind analyses

Hourly Wind Energy Production Data Provided to RU CEEEP

1. Hourly Wind Speeds IMCS 2. Hourly Wind Turbine Energy Production (MWh) IMCS 3. PJM Energy UC & Dispatch (Dayzer) CEEEP Other Inputs: Turbine size, manufacturer and power curve (relationship between wind speed (and other factors?) and power production) Turbine location and wake effect Size of wind farm (MW) Injection point(s) into electricity grid (radial and with AWC) Couple/automate data transfer flow Combine Ru IMCS/CEEEP Modeling Programs

Proposed Modeling/Monitoring Enhancements SODAR LIDAR Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) Velocity Turbulence Intensity Kinematic Shear Stress Modeling/Monitoring Upgrades

Sandy, Oct 29-30, 2012

Model Irene with the intensity of the September 1821 Hurricane using RUWRF

Progress Reports Website, Presentations, Meetings Reports, Presentations, Meetings, Conference calls