Friday Weather Discussion Clark Evans 5 December 2014.

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Presentation transcript:

Friday Weather Discussion Clark Evans 5 December 2014

Opening Links Water Vapor Satellite Loop (time-sensitive) Water Vapor Satellite Loop Visible Satellite Loop (time-sensitive) Visible Satellite Loop Upper Air Charts (1200 UTC 5 Dec 2014) Upper Air Charts Surface Observations (time-sensitive) Surface Observations

Opening Links Water Vapor Satellite Loop (time-sensitive) Water Vapor Satellite Loop Last 7 Days Rainfall (28 Nov-5 Dec) Last 7 Days Rainfall N. Hemisphere Wave Guide (22 Nov-7 Dec) N. Hemisphere Wave Guide

Opening Links Western North Pacific IR Satellite Loop Super Typhoon Hagupit Background – Observed Track Observed Track – Observed Intensity Observed Intensity STY Hagupit Forecasts/Information

Where Have We Been? Source: NOAA/ESRL/PSD

Where Have We Been? Source: Midwest Regional Climate Center Also see: Milwaukee Nov 2014 F6Milwaukee Nov 2014 F6

Where Have We Been? Source: Midwest Regional Climate Center

Where Have We Been? Source: Midwest Regional Climate Center (left), New York State Police (right)

Where Are We Going? Source: Climate Prediction Center

Where Are We Going? Source: Climate Prediction Center

Where Are We Going? Synoptic-Scale Perspective… – 1200 UTC 5 Dec 2014 GFS Forecast 1200 UTC 5 Dec 2014 GFS Forecast – 0000 UTC 5 Dec 2014 ECMWF Forecast 0000 UTC 5 Dec 2014 ECMWF Forecast – 0000 UTC 5 Dec 2014 ECMWF EPS Forecast 500 hPa geopotential height 850 hPa temperature For Reference: SPC Sounding ClimatologySPC Sounding Climatology

The MJO: A Possible Influence? Source: UCAR/COMET (left), Australian Bureau of Meteorology (right)

The MJO: A Possible Influence? Source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology

The MJO: A Possible Influence? Source: Climate Prediction Center

The MJO: A Possible Influence? Source: Climate Prediction Center

The Longer-Term Equatorial Pacific SST/SST’, Sub-Surface T Global SST Anomalies El Nino Temp, Precip., Snow Composites

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