West Contra Costa USD Presentation to the Facilities Subcommittee October 9, 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

West Contra Costa USD Presentation to the Facilities Subcommittee October 9, 2012

Fontana USD Bond Program Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 1  The Fontana Unified School District financing program is one that we’ve been paying attention to from a financing plan perspective.  Relatively large authorization.  Relatively aggressive project schedule.  Unprecedented declines in assessed value.  BANs to buy time pending tax base recovery.  Maturity date for BANs.

Fontana USD Pricing  We have also been interested in the transaction from a pricing standpoint.  “Aa3” rated school district.  Economically impacted area.  Story-type credit.  Significant press.  Competitive sale. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 2

Today’s Event  This morning, the District took bids on two separate bond transactions with a common plan of finance.  Refunding Bonds - $90 million current interest bonds due 2013 to  New Money Bonds - $50 million of callable capital appreciation bonds due 2030 to  Separate invited competitive sales at 8:35am and at 9:35am. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 3

Results  On first analysis, the results were considerably better than we would have anticipated.  Both transactions attracted a reasonable number of bidders.  Top bids were relatively tightly grouped (particularly on the refunding bonds).  Spreads to MMD seemed reasonable (perhaps better) based on initial review.  At this point in time, we don't have enough information to provide a full-blown analysis. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 4

Number of Bids  One measure of success is the number of firms participating in the bidding process. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 5 Current Interest Bonds  Raymond James & Associates  Bank of America Merrill Lynch  Morgan Stanley & Company  Barclays Capital  Citigroup  Wells Fargo Securities Capital Appreciation Bonds  Citigroup  Barclays Capital  Morgan Stanley & Company  Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Bid Range  Another simple indicator is the range of bids received. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 6 Bid TIC for CIBs [1] Bid TIC for CABs [1] Raymond James & Associates2.90%Citigroup5.58% Bank of America Merrill Lynch2.91%Barclays Capital5.87% Morgan Stanley & Company2.93%Morgan Stanley & Company5.92% Barclays Capital3.03%Bank of America Merrill Lynch5.99% Citigroup3.15% Wells Fargo Securities3.16% Cover Range 0.01% 0.26% Cover Range 0.29% 0.41% [1] Due to differences in structure, bid TICs are not directly comparable between series.

Evaluating Interest Rates  A more sophisticated analysis will involve collecting comparable transactions and comparing them to bid results based on spread to MMD.  Identification of comparable transactions.  Analysis of spread movement over time.  Review of applicable recent trading activity.  Impact of couponing, redemption provisions, and other structuring elements.  Accounting for special circumstances. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 7

CIB Results  Available information for the refunding bond transaction is summarized below. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 8 *CO-Managers: Fidelity Capital; UBS Financial Svcs; Jefferies

CAB Results  Available information for the new money bond transaction is summarized below. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 9

Other Considerations  In a full-blown analysis, we would have considered a number of additional factors.  Underwriter spread analysis.  Analysis of investor participation / underwriter book of business.  Comments of non-winning underwriters.  Sales and trading activity between sale and close.  Detailed analysis of comparable sales (including impact of couponing). Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 10

Summary and Conclusions  At the end of the day, the District seems to have had a successful transaction, but uncertainty remains.  BANs will be repaid in December.  District avoided exposing its general fund.  Taxpayers remain at risk, though it is uncertain that District will exceed tax rate targets as a result of this CAB issuance.  The impact of this transaction on public support for the District is unclear. Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page 11