Research and Monitoring Related to Sea Level Rise at the Grand Bay NERR Will Underwood Stewardship Coordinator.

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Presentation transcript:

Research and Monitoring Related to Sea Level Rise at the Grand Bay NERR Will Underwood Stewardship Coordinator

Practice and Promote the stewardship of coasts and estuaries through innovative research, education, and training using a placed based system of protected areas. Water Quality Habitat Protection Climate Change

NERRS System Wide Monitoring Program Graduate Research Fellowship (GRF) Program Grand Bay NERR site profile (ecological characterization) Coordinate research with DMR, universities, NOAA, and NERRS Applied research to local & regional issues

The YSI 6600 EDS Datasonde

MS Phosphates Spill (April 2005) TS Lee (Sep 2011)

Long Term Monitoring Erosion Habitat Mapping/Change SAV Invasive Species Marsh Elevations

What is SLAMM? Sea Level Rise Affecting Marshes Model SLAMM simulates the dominant processes involved in wetland conversions and shoreline modifications during long-term sea level rise. A complex decision tree incorporating geometric and qualitative relationships is used to represent transfers among coastal classes.

Irregularly-flooded marsh viability: 2009 to 2025

Irregularly-flooded marsh viability: 2009 to 2050

Irregularly-flooded marsh viability: 2009 to 2075

Irregularly-flooded marsh viability: 2009 to 2100

Effects of fire on water quality, plant production, and accretion in a Juncus roemerianus marsh Primary Research Question: What are the effects of prescribed burning on a salt marsh ecosystem? How does fire affect: Primary productivity Accretion processes

Transect[Treatment] : NS Treatment: NS Location: F (2,63) = 5.59, P=<.0001 Treatment*Location: NS Means (mm ± 1 SE) Control Plots: Low =15.17 ± 2.9 Mid =7.81 ± 1.11 High =5.41 ±2.00 Burn Plots: Low =13.42 ± 0.94 Mid =7.38 ± 2.58 High =4.26 ± 1.06

Burn Plots: Low = ± Mid =363.3 ± High = ± Transect[Treatment] : NS Treatment: : F (1,8) = 1.86, P= Location: F (2,8) = 1.24, P= 0.04 Treatment*Location: NS Means Control Plots: Low = ± Mid = ± High = ± 237.8

GRAND BAY FIRE EFFECTS STUDY: Results VariableLow MarshMid MarshHigh Marsh pH6.22± ± ±0.06 Salinity (ppt)24.58± ± ±0.99 Vertical accretion (mm)15.4±2.55.2±1.82.4±0.4 Juncus Density (no/m2)706.7± ± ±55.4 Juncus Biomass (g/m2) 988.6± ± ±55.4 Juncus community proportion 98.7%100%97.5% Table 1: Edaphic and biological variables at low, mid, and high marsh plots following Hurricanes Gustav and Ike in 2008 (n=6 for each). Data are means ± 1SE.

ECOLOGY OF TIDAL MARSH BIRDS ALONG THE MS/AL COAST Drs. Mark Woodrey, Bob Cooper, Scott Rush

Clapper Rail Response Current 1 m sea-level rise