Farm Leasing Arrangements Tim Eggers Field Agricultural Economist 712-542-5171

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Presentation transcript:

Farm Leasing Arrangements Tim Eggers Field Agricultural Economist

Farm Leasing Arrangements Ron Hook Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Tom Olsen Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Robert Tigner Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Craig Chase Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Steve Johnson Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Bob Wells Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Jim Jensen Field Specialist - Farm Management

Farm Leasing Arrangements Kelvin Leibold Field Specialist - Farm Management

Top Issues Land Values Cash Rental Rates Custom Rates Leasing Practices Crop-Share Leases Calculating a Cash Rent Lease Flexible Cash Leases Bio-economy

Tools ISU Extension Staff Resources Ag Decision Maker –Decision Aids Annual Surveys Publications –Decision Tools Agricultural Management e-School –Farm Leasing Arrangements course Non ISUE resources

December 2007 Corn Futures

November 2007 Soybean Futures

December 2008 Corn Futures

November 2008 Soybean Futures

What Should the Cash Rent Be? Tenant’s Residual December Corn Share of Gross Crop Share November Soybeans 2008 Futures 2007 Futures

When did you run the numbers? 2008 Futures 2007 Futures

With these prices? 2008 Futures 2007 Futures

NortheastNorthwest Ethanol Plants lowhighaverageElevatorslowhighaverageElevators Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

Iowa Farmland Value Surveys Iowa State University Extension –conducted annually around November 1st –mailed survey sent to 1,100 licensed real estate brokers –usually responses –released in mid-December Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago –quarterly survey of ag lenders by state – Realtors Land Institute –semi-annual survey (March and September) –compares land classification by corn production –includes pasture and timber land –

Positive Factors Affecting Land Values,

Recent Land Value Estimates Chicago Fed – 7% increase in the 1 st quarter –16% increase April to April Iowa Chapter of Realtors Land Institute –13.6% increase from September 06 to March 07 ISU Soil Management Conference –forecast a 20% increase from November 07 to November 08

Prior to September 15, 2006 Record increases in land value for each of the prior three years Drivers –poor overall economy –low interest rates –attractiveness of land investment Investors have been a major factor

Post September 15, 2006 Bioeconomy boom Newfound support for fourth year of record increases Existing farmers are becoming more active participants Land at 173% 2000 value

Factors to Watch Overall performance of the economy –interest rates –housing market Recreational demand Aging farmland owners and their heirs Bioeconomy –corn based ethanol Farm Program –more of the same/cuts/regional differences

Leasing Practices

Cash/Crop Share/Owner Operator

Crop Share Practices

LandlordTenant Land ½ inputs Labor ½ inputs Machinery Management ½ income Crop Share Lease

LandlordTenant Land $212 ½ inputs$114 Labor$ 27 ½ inputs$114 Machinery$ 63 Management$123 ½ income$327 Crop Share Lease

Leasing Opportunity Soil Type: Acres: Percent: CSR T370B % % 60 T % % 91 T % % % Totals % Iowa Corn Suitability Rating based yield estimation: 179 bushels per acre

Determining A “Fair” Cash Rent Value

Location:Page County Tillable Acres:265 Acres Corn Yield:179 bu/Acre Soybean Yield:49 bu/A Corn Suitability Rating:84 CSR Supporting Information

Cash Rent Market Approach ISU Extension Publication FM 1851 – Cash Rental Rates for Iowa 2007 Survey (released in May) Three Methods for Determining Cash Rent Values Typical Cash Rent Average Rent for Production Average Rent for Corn Suitability Rating (CSR) Calculating Cash Rent Values

1.Typical Cash Rent Select the Area of the State/County Area 10County Page Determine Overall average$ 132 High Quality Third =$ 161 Middle Quality Third =$ 130 Low Quality Third =$ 104 Calculating Cash Rent

2 a.Average Rents Per Unit – Corn Yield Select the Area of the State/County Determine Average Rent for Corn Farm’s Average Corn Yield (bu/A) 179 Times rent per bushel of Corn yield $.96 Equals the Average Rent for Corn Acre $ 172 Calculating Cash Rent

2 b.Average Rents Per Unit – Soybean Yield Select the Area of the State/County Determine Average Rent for Soybeans Farm’s Average Soybean Yield (bu/A) 49 Times rent per bushel of Soybean yield $ 3.08 Equals the Average Rent for Soybean Acres $151 Calculating Cash Rent

2. Average Rents Per Unit – Corn & Soybeans Add the Average Rent for Both Corn Average Rent $ 172 Soybean Average Rent $ 151 Average Rent Corn & Soybeans$ 161 Calculating Cash Rent

3.Average Rents Per CSR Index Point Select the Area of the State/County Determine the Average Cash Rent using CSR Farm’s Average Corn Suitability Rating 84 Times rent per CSR index point $ 1.76 Equals the Average Rent for all Row Crop Acres $ 148 Using Corn Suitability Rating (CSR) Source: ISU Extension Publication FM- 1851

Average all 3 Methods Method 1: Typical Cash Rent$ 161 Method 2: Average Rents per Unit$ 161 Method 3: Average Rents per CSR Index Point $ 148 Total all Methods and divide by 3 $157 /A $157 /A X 265 Tillable Acres =$41,517 Split Payments of $20,758 and $20,758 Overall Average

Gross Income Method Tenant Residual Method Crop Share Method Return on Investment Method Cash Lease Calculations

Assumptions 265 crop acres 179 bushel corn yield 49 bushel Soybean yield Corn Market Price $3.50 / bu –December 2008 minus 50 cents Soybean Market Price $8.70 / bu –November 2008 minus 50 cents Direct Government Payments average $22.00 / acre

Share of Gross Income CORN:(179 bu X $3.50) + $22 = $ SOYBEANS: (49 bu X $8.70) + $22 = $ Iowa cash rents typically are equal to about 30 to 40 percent of the gross income from producing corn, and 35 to 45 percent of the gross income from producing soybeans. Cash Rental Rate CORN:$648.50/ac X 35% = $ 227 SOYBEANS:$448.30/ac x 40% = $ 179 Average$ 203

Tenant Residual Method CORN:$ – $ = $ SOYBEAN: $ $ = $ Average:$ % lower prices or lower yield$109 20% lower prices or lower yield $162 10% higher prices or lower yield$319

Crop Share Method Share Expense: Corn: 50 % x $ = $ Soybeans: 50 % x $ = $62.66 Equivalent Rent: Corn: $ $ = $ Soybean: $ $62.66 = $ Average:$ (1)The owner is assumed to pay 50 percent of the costs for seed, fertilizer, lime, pesticides, crop insurance, interest and miscellaneous, and drying and storage. Income: Corn: 50 % x = $ Soybeans: 50 % x $ = $224.15

Return on Investment Method Iowa farm estimated to have a market value of $3,700 per acre. Expected Rent: (5%) X $3,700 / acre = $185 / acre 5.66%

Cash Rent Survey Per Bushel Yield Per CSR Point Gross Income Tenant Residual Crop Share Return on Investment Average Corn Soybeans All Average: $ Average:$130 43% increase $161 $172$151$148 $229$169 $280$254 $206$161$185 $197$176

Machinery costs Fixed costsVariable costs Depreciation Interest Storage Insurance Repairs Labor Fuel

Low Third$71 Mid Third$76 High Third$90 IFBA 2005 Machinery Costs FM 1789Iowa Farm Costs and Returns (updated in September)

Power Mach Cost vs Invest. Cost (Per Acre)

Direct Corn Expenses

Direct Bean Expenses

Flexible Cash Leases Desire: Terminated tenants want cash rent leases to be renewed by September 1 for the following year Current Reality: Prices and yields are very unpredictable Solution: Flexible lease contract

Advantages Disadvantages Price and production risk shared as well as profit opportunities Actual rent adjusts as production or price change Owner does not have to be involved in decision making about inputs or marketing Owner and producer share in risks Not as well understood as traditional cash lease or crop share More difficult to calculate Owner benefits from tenant’s management skills Tenant loses windfall profit potential from high prices

Types of Flexible Cash Leases Rent varies with both price and yield –Matches tenant’s ability to pay Rent varies with yield only –Could have high yields, low prices Rent varies with price, only –Could have low yields, high prices

Flexible Cash Lease is a Share Lease Farm Service Agency says that if the actual rent depends on the farm yield, direct and counter cyclical payments must be shared with the landowner. Considered to be a “share” lease Does not apply to LDPs or marketing loan gains.

If the final rent does not depend on the farm yield, a flexible rent is still considered to be a cash rent. Example: base rent on county average yield and actual price at harvest. County yields are not published until March each year. Flexible Cash Lease is a Cash Lease

Base plus Bonus Paying a “flex bonus” when revenue is above expectations does not affect the split of payments if it is not based on the actual farm yield. Provide a copy of your agreement to the FSA county office.

Capacity: 142% of 2006 Crop Iowa Corn Processing Plants, Current & Planned, 5/30/07 71 Potential Iowa Plants 11 Just across IA Borders

USDA 07-08

Total 11,693 mil. Bu.

Hazards for 2008 Lower crop insurance prices Higher input costs –rent, fuel, fertilizer, seed, machinery, and drying Yields –low or at insurance coverage levels Price –average or below break even Increased world supplies or low ethanol prices

Other Resources Materials from this meeting – Online Courses – Ag Management e-School – Workshops, meetings, conferences – Publications – rental survey, land value survey, etc. – Articles and spreadsheets – Private Consultation –

Land Leasing Confidence Introduction to Farm Leases Cash Rent Leases Crop Share Leases Custom Farming Renting Buildings Renting Hay and Pasture Land Legal and Tax Considerations Conservation and Environmental Considerations USDA Agencies and Programs Owner and Operator Relations Farm Lease Arrangements A.M.E.S. Agricultural Management e-school An ISU Extension Outreach Institute

A.M.E.S. Agricultural Management e-school An ISU Extension Outreach Institute Purchase Plan Land Value Trends Using Soils Information Appraisal Techniques Financing Considerations Feasibility of a Land Purchase Farmland Ownership

Thank You! Tim Eggers Field Ag Economist ISU Page County Extension 311 East Washington Clarinda, Iowa (712)

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