Mark Noll & Blake Atherton Oil and Aid. Overview (1) Research questions (2) Hypotheses (3) Methodology (4) Results (5) Conclusion (we don’t have one yet!)

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Presentation transcript:

Mark Noll & Blake Atherton Oil and Aid

Overview (1) Research questions (2) Hypotheses (3) Methodology (4) Results (5) Conclusion (we don’t have one yet!)

Research Questions a.Do oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations? a.Which donors, if any, tend to give out the most aid to these oil-wealthy nations and why?

Hypotheses a.Oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations a.Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to exporting nations than oil-secure donors do

Independent Variable: oil exports Dependent Variable: foreign aid received Timeframe: Oil-secure: Canada, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom, United States Oil-vulnerable: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Spain Methodology

Preliminary Results a.Oil-exporting nations do receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations a.Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to oil exporters than do oil-secure donors

Foreign Aid and Oil Exports

Controlling for Other Factors

Vulnerable vs. Secure Vulnerable: ● Regression coefficient of ● T value of 4.86 Secure: ● Regression coefficient of ● T value of 2.63

Caveats and Next Steps ● Hone statistical methods ● Binary categories ● Still some selection bias

Questions Questions? Feedback?