1 REGIONAL STRATEGY MEETING HONG KONG TRADE MINISTERIAL CONFERENCE OUTCOMES: IMPLICATIONS FOR POVERTY REDUCTION IN SADC Topic: Zambia’s CSO Response to the Outcomes on GATS/Services and Implications for Poverty Reduction. Prepared by: Stephen L. Muyakwa Development Consultant Chairperson: Civil Society Trade Network of Zambia (CSTNZ). 6 – 7th April Gauteng, South Africa

2 Background to the World Trade Organisation General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade 1947 (GATT) gave birth to the WTO in 1995 comprising four trade arrangements. These are: A)GATT 1994 B) Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) C)General Agreement in Trade in Services (GATS) and D)Dispute Settlement Understanding (DSU)

3 Major WTO Challenges The GATT 1994 included the controversial Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) The TRIPS Agreement is controversial for of limiting access to technology to developing countries The GATS is controversial because of i) developing countries have no capacity to engage in trade in services, ii) Critical services were would become out of rich of the poor if handled by MNCs and iii) developing countries already had too much WTO work on their plates. The DSU is not fully impartial- favours developed countries

4 Key Elements of the GATS Positive list of services a member wants to liberalise in terms of market access and national treatment and Modes of supplying services ie: (i) supply of service from one country to another country (cross border supply); (ii) supply of service from one country to the consumer of another country (consumption abroad); (iii) supply of service by a supplier of one country through commercial presence in another country (commercial presence) and (iv) supply of service by a supplier of one country through the presence of natural persons of one country in another country (presence of natural persons).

5 The State of Play in the Negotiations on GATS Negotiations on GATS started in The deadline for the submission of initial requests was June 30, 2002 The deadline for submission of initial offers was March 31, 2003 The conclusion of the GATS negotiations was not later than January 1, Negotiations on Safeguards to be completed by March 15, 2002 The Assessment of Trade in Services to be carried out before the actual negotiations take place. There will be credit for autonomous liberalization.

6 Zambian CSO Demands on GATS LDCs must not accede to the requests/ pressures from developed countries to further liberalize LDCs be given their right to regulate services and liberalize according to their national development policy priorities GATS mode-4 to developed countries to a) accept qualifications of people from LDCs and b) grant market access and national treatment to people from LDCs.

7 Movement of Natural Persons in Africa. Gender and Migration Migration and HIV/AIDS Effects of migration on development Temporary Migration and Development Major Challenges in Policy Responses to Migration Some Barriers to mode 4

8 Effects of migration on development

9 Post-Hong Kong Negotiations Annec C was adopted This entailed plurilateral negotiations among some members which should take place with any opening extended to other members. Services were the only area where individual countries (Cuba and Venezuela) expressed formal reservations LDCs like Zambia exempted from making commitments

10 Poverty and Zambia Overall and extreme poverty in Zambia, in rural and urban areas, YearZambiaRuralUrban Overall poverty Extreme povertyOverall povertyExtreme povertyOverall povertyExtreme poverty

11 Services and Economic Activity in Zambia Table 1: Proportions of GDP by kind of Economic Activity Primary Sector (Agriculture/mining) Secondary sector ( manufacturing) Tertiary (Services sector)  construction  Wholesale and Retail  Restaurants bars and Hotels  Transport and communications  Financial Intermediation  Real Estates and Business Services  Community, social and personal services Others Total GDP100

12 Conclusions There are some critical structural impediments to Zambia’s ability to fully engage in the trade in services There are risks and opportunities in trade in services which need careful analysis. The above analysis suggests that there is a paucity of data on trade in services generally and migrant remittances in particular in Zambia. There are very high poverty levels in Zambia that require serious attention from policy makers.

13 Recommendations Zambia should quickly develop a trade policy encompassing all relevant areas of trade including trade in services Zambia should, as a matter of urgency, establish a “Globalisation Directorate” in the Office of the President to spearhead complex multi- institutional arrangements such as services and financial arrangements. Zambia should make requests to developed countries for mode 4 to enable the country benefit from services trade as a way of reducing poverty.

14 Recommendations (continued) Zambian Civil Society should build capacity to assist the government in trade negotiations generally and services negotiations specifically. Zambia should carry out an impact study of the potential impact of further liberalization in services and develop appropriate safeguard measures. Zambia should develop a mechanism for capturing data on trade in services generally and migrant remittances in particular.