603887 Arctic Change: A need for multi-sector collaboration Jeremy Wilkinson British Antarctic Survey

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Presentation transcript:

Arctic Change: A need for multi-sector collaboration Jeremy Wilkinson British Antarctic Survey

Overview Summary of sea ice change Impacts of sea ice loss on different sectors Need for a holistic (multi-sector) view Highlight two programmes

A view from space… The annual Arctic sea ice cycle

The top of the world is changing… **Reduction of over 50% in summer sea ice extent since the 1970s. 7 million km 2 in the 1970s 4.2 million km 2 in million km 2 in 2012 **Reduction over 40% in thickness **Regime shift: from a multi-year ice dominated regime to a first-year regime

Multifaceted impacts…. Indigenous communities Loss of traditional way of life Coastal changes Coastal erosion due to enhanced wave energy Environmental pressures Loss of habitat/species Increase in ocean acidification Change in ocean properties

Multifaceted impacts…. Climate Global links, for example changes in atmospheric circulation linked to heat and drought to the US and cold stormy weather to Europe Industry Shipping, oil/gas, minerals, fisheries, tourism… Economics UK Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change (2006). £3.68 trillion What is the cost of Arctic change?

Joined up thinking How can we better understand the impacts of Arctic Change? A Multisectorial approach is needed -Incredibly complex -No one country has the expertise -Expensive -Engagement and dissemination activities to a diverse range of stakeholders Policy-makers, industry and the public must have the most up-to-date and robust science available on Arctic change and its socio-economic consequences. Evidence-based decision-making is fundamental to ensure that informed policy decisions can be reached.

EU Arctic Programme: ACCESS Arctic Climate Change, Economy and Society project Co-ordinator: Jean-Claude Gascard Ocean of Tomorrow call of the European Commission Seventh Framework Programme Key facts 27 institutions participating 9 European Union countries and Russia More than 80 researchers Project budget: 11 millions Project duration: 4 years ( )

Ice, Climate, and Economics:- Arctic Research on Change Co-ordinator: Jeremy Wilkinson Key facts 21 institutions participating 11 European Union countries and Russia Project budget: €12 millions Project duration: 4 years ( ) ENV Climate-related ocean processes and combined impacts of multiple stressors on the marine environment. EU Arctic Programme: ICE-ARC Four interconnected objectives: ① Reduce uncertainties in Arctic marine climate predictions. ② Elucidate the impact Arctic marine change has on the ecosystem and human communities. ③ Understand the global socio-economic impact of Arctic marine change. ④ Provide concrete evidence-based policy measures in response to change in the Arctic marine system. Human dimension

ctic_research_funded_by_the_research_and_i nnovation_eu_en.pdf Summary Sea ice is changing. Influences many sectors beyond climate. Holistic international approach is needed. Better understanding of the costs and uncertainties of Arctic Change (positive and negative). More information: Jeremy Wilkinson