GENII Version 2 General Purpose Environmental Radiation Software PNNL: Bruce Napier, Dennis Strenge, Van Ramsdell, Christian Fosmire, Mitch Pelton For.

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Presentation transcript:

GENII Version 2 General Purpose Environmental Radiation Software PNNL: Bruce Napier, Dennis Strenge, Van Ramsdell, Christian Fosmire, Mitch Pelton For EPA Office of Radiation and Indoor Air: Chris Nelson, Dale Hoffmeyer, Sanjib Chaki, Tony Wolbarst, Kathryn Snead Support from ORNL: Keith Eckerman

2 GENIIGENII A set of computer programs for estimation of radionuclide concentrations in the environment and dose/risk to humans from: Acute or chronic exposures to Releases to surface water or atmosphere, or Initial contamination conditions

3 GENII V.2 in FRAMES GENII development history Available Models Atmospheric transport Surface water transport Waste/soil redistribution Terrestrial uptake Human Exposure

4 GENII V.2 in FRAMES, Continued Dose/Risk Uncertainty/Sensitivity Capabilities and limitations Walk-through some examples

5 GENII Development Version 1. Released ICRP-26/30/48 dosimetry Version stabilized GENII-S stochastic version GENII Version 2 ICRP-72 age-dependent dosimetry EPA HEAST slope factors Federal Guidance Report 13 risk factors 2006/7 – V&V

6 Exposure Scenarios “What is the assessment question?” - F.O. Hoffman A scenario is a conceptual model that describes patterns of human activity, events, and processes that result in radiation exposure to people.

7 Types of Scenarios Far-Field scenarios Atmospheric transport (Acute or chronic) Surface water transport (Acute or chronic) Near-Field scenarios Spills Buried waste (Groundwater use - GW transport modeling is NOT an explicit part of GENII)

8 GENII V.2 Time Line Dose Period Release PeriodResidual Period Optional inventory decay/biotic transport period Release or disposal Intake/exposure begins Release stops Intake/exposure ends

9 Radionuclides of Interest All those with half-lives greater than 10 minutes* All decay progeny of these Some are included “implicitly” *(Except radon progeny…)

10 Frames sources Contaminants Atmospheric transport Surface water transport Environmental accumulation Individual uptake Dose & risk

11 GENII V.2 Atmospheric Transport Options Chronic Gaussian Plume Chronic Lagrangian Puff Acute Gaussian Plume Acute Lagrangian Puff Input of pre-calculated dispersion parameters (X/Q and D/Q for either acute or chronic, gases and particles)

12 GENII V.2 Chronic Plume Model Straight-line sector-averaged gaussian Runs on hourly observations or joint-frequency data Multiple independent sources Ground level or elevated releases Point or area sources Finite flow correction Sectors by 16 compass points or 10 degrees Radial output grid

13 GENII V.2 Chronic Puff Model Lagrangian puff releases based on 1 observation point Hourly time step (variable number of puffs/hour) using hourly observations or quasi-hourly built from joint-frequency data Square grid Multiple sources Point or area sources Ground level or elevated releases

14 GENII V.2 Acute Plume Model Straight-line centerline gaussian for individuals For short (~2 hour releases) Single source Ground-level or elevated releases Radial grid Radial sectors by 16 compass points or 10 degrees

15 GENII V.2 Acute Puff Model Lagrangian puff based on 1 observation point Hourly time step using hourly observations or quasi-hourly inputs derived from joint- frequency data Single source Square grid Ground-level or elevated releases

16 Parameterizations for Diffusion Coefficients Briggs open country Briggs urban conditions Pasquill-Gifford (ISC-3) Pasquill-Gifford (NRC: PAVAN, MESORAD, XOQDOQ, etc.)

17 Parameterizations Available in All Air Models Building wake / low-speed meander Buoyancy-induced diffusion Plume rise/downwash corrections Momentum Buoyancy Diabatic wind profile

18 GENII V.2 Atmospheric Deposition Models All models have plume depletion / mass balance Dry deposition “Resistance model” Includes gravitational settling of larger particles Wet deposition Washout dependent on precipitation rate Rain and snow considered

19 GENII V.2 Air Submersion Dose Rates Infinite plume Based on Federal Guidance Report 13 models Finite plume Close to release - array of line sources Intermediate distances - stacked series of infinite planes Long distances - defaults to infinite plume

20 Sources of Data for Atmospheric Models Hourly data CD-144 format (National Climatic Data Center) SAMSON format (NCDC) 1st order stations on 3 CDs, also a later one Precipitation in TD-3240 format (NCDC) (For sites in the US, these are now available online from either NCDC or EPA/CEAM) Joint frequency data STAR (ISC-3) [provided for many US sites] GENII V.1.485

21 GENII V.2 Surface Water Transport Models Simple models derived from NRC’s LADTAP code Rivers - analog to atmospheric gaussian plume Constant depth, width, velocity Straight channel Continuous discharge River - dilution volume (well mixed) Acute river (time integral) Lake quasi-steady state wind-driven currents

22 GENII V.2 Near-Field Soil Model ¦ Plants ¦ ¦ ¦ Surface Soil Zone +-¦ ¦ (compartment 3) ¦ ¦ ¦ Harvest¦ ¦ ¦ Loss ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦Leaching¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ Biotic Human ¦ Transport Intrusion ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ Subsurface Soil Zone +-+ ¦ (compartment 2) ¦ ¦ Waste Package Degradation ¦ ¦ Buried Waste/Package ¦ ¦ (compartment 1) ¦

23 GENII V.2 Near-Field Biotic Transport Plant roots - root fraction applied to CR Burrowing animals - volume of soil moved versus depth Applied to arid, humid, or agricultural conditions

24 GENII V.2 Near-Field Human Intrusion Buried waste and/or deep soil may be manually redistributed at the start of exposure to the surface soil. Process is a step function manual redistribution factor (m 3 /m 2 )

25 GENII V.2 Exposure Pathways External Transported air Soil Swimming Shoreline Inhalation Transported air Resuspended soil Volatilized indoor air pollutants from water

26 GENII V.2 Exposure Pathways, Continued Ingestion Leafy vegetables Fish Other vegetables Crustaceans Fruit Molluscs Grain Water plants Meat Drinking water Milk Shower water Poultry Swimming water Eggs Soil

27 GENII V.2 Crop Contamination Plant = Soil * CR + intercepted deposition Concentration ratios (CR) updated/revised Interception function of crop biomass Wet interception Dry interception

28 GENII V.2 Animal Product Contamination Animal Product = TF  (Crop * Ingestion rate) Transfer factors revised / updated

29 GENII V.2 Aquatic Biota Contamination Fish = Water concentration * BF Bioaccumulation factors (BF) revised / updated

30 GENII V.2 Tritium Specific Activity Model Environmental media assumed to have same specific activity (Bq/kg water) as contaminating medium (water or air) Fractional content of both water and non-water portions of the food product is used In acute cases, rapid equilibration / de-equilibration is assumed (~8 hours) Based on observations at Chalk River Includes organically-bound tritium as a “progeny”

31 GENII V.2 Carbon-14 Specific Activity Model For atmospheric sources, model is parallel to that for tritium For water sources, equilibration is assumed with soil carbon atom ratios For acute cases, uptake via photosynthesis is slow, long de-equilibration

32 GENII V.2 Human Exposure Up to 6 age groups allowed, following ICRP- 56,67,69

33 GENII V.2 Acute Deposition Food Pathways GENII V presented results for 4 seasons (Winter/spring/summer/autumn) GENII V.2 now also includes time-dependent model based on the V approach – keys off of time of year from meteorological calculations This adds more variability to projected answers, and is more reasonable for retrospective answers

34 External Exposure - Doses Dose rate conversion factors from Federal Guidance Report 12, provided by Keith Eckerman, ORNL Air Submersion Water Immersion Soil Plane Soil Volume

35 Internal Exposure - Doses Effective dose equivalent: ICRP-30 Adult only Effective dose: ICRP-72 6 age groups 24 organs/tissues Inhalation classes F, M, S

36 Risk Calculations - Slope Factors EPA Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables (Currently the same as FGR 13) Ingestion (risk/pCi ingested) Inhalation (risk/pCi inhaled) Ground plane external (risk/year per pCI/g) For population exposure = adults

37 Risk Calculations - Dose-to-Risk Conversions ICRP provides estimates of cancer incidence and mortality in relation to effective dose ICRP-30 effective dose ICRP-72 organ dose The new US BEIR VII report supports these values with minor revision Risk = Dose (Sv) * Conversion (risk/Sv)

38 Risk Calculations - FGR 13 Federal Guidance Report 13 provides coefficients for 15 cancer sites Inhalation (risk/Bq) Inhalation classes F, M, S Ingestion (risk/Bq) Accounts for different consumption patterns with age -Drinking water -Food crops

39 GENII V.2 Uncertainty Analysis Parameter uncertainty and sensitivity may be addressed using the SUM 3 processor in FRAMES. All non-control parameters are allowed to be varied, using description files to define ‘available’ parameters Acute atmospheric releases are an important subset. For these, SUM 3 is used to vary start times in the plume or puff models, allowing construction of the location or site cumulative dose/risk distribution function.

40 Use of SUM 3 to get CDF of Dose