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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Nov 2011 COP 17 Durban Gaëtan Siew UIA P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles ( BC) Greek politician and commander

A World of Global Imbalances Contrasted Territories Regionalisation Power and Complexity of Networks New Partnerships Global Governance INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

A World of Contrasts INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Sao Paulo, Brazil North – Old and Fragile South – Young and Poor South 90% < 25 years old Jodhpur, India Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture Brain drain/Mobility Competing Cities 7,0 billions population 6,2 billions mobiles 5,5 billions radios 4,5 billions tv 2,6 billion computers 0,6 b Facebook

A World of Contrasts INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Sao Paulo, Brazil Jodhpur, India Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture 7,0 billions population 6,2 billions mobiles 5,5 billions radios 4,5 billions tv 2,6 billion computers 0,6 b Facebook

An Urban World INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS The World 2007 : > 50% urban population Monster or sustainable cities ? + 3 b people in South Cities by slum dwellers /month Heritage at risk Sao Paulo, Brazil An Urban World Population m Tokyo 35.2 Jakarta 22,0 Bombay 21,2 Delhi 21,0 Manila 20,8 New York 20,6 Sao Paulo 20,2 Seoul 19,9 Mexico 18,7 Shanghai 18.4 Cairo 17,3 GUP b € Tokyo New York Los Angeles 639 Paris 460 Chicago 460 Londres 452 Osaka-Kobe 341 Mexico 315 Philadelphia 312 Washington 299

A World of refuge blocks INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Regionalisation Own values betrayal By Language By Culture By Trade By Geopolitics

A World of Global Issues and Crisis INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership CO2 Emissions tons/p Qatar48.3 Bahrein27.0 Emirates25.9 Koweit25.7 Luxembourg23.6 Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA

Global Trends Technology: death of distance ? Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisatio Identity v/s Globalisation INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

Lessons ? INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Success = Happiness New Model Old Model adjusting ? End of Era ? New model of opportunities ?