A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of Social Impact Case study of involuntary resettlement caused by dam construction in Japan Naruhiko TAKESADA Graduate School of Frontier Sciences University of Tokyo, JAPAN

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Social Impact of Dam Involuntary Resettlement caused by Dam Construction –Past: not much care –Present: carefully planned resettlement Compensation (monetary and/or in kind) Rehabilitation “Resettlement as Opportunity”

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Principle agreed Standard of Living and/or Income –improved, at least restored t t+n Asset/Income Time w/o R After R1 After R2 After R3 After R1

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, When & How to Assess When/How we know the principle realized Post Project Assessment (Post Evaluation) –Donor-driven in developing countries –2-5 years after completion Monitoring effort waning “Development” is long process

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Different Picture Different result with different timing t t+n Asset/Income Time w/o R After R1 After R2 After R3 After R1

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Case Study: Ikawa dam in Japan Ikawa Dam built in households displaced 21 households moved to prepared area (“Nishiyama-daira”) “New Village Building” Interview with resettlers in “Nishiyama- daira”

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Findings Resettlers’ livelihood after dam –Just after resettlement: hardship –After 10 years: unexpected boom in forestry –After 20 years: stagnation begins Now –Most resettlers satisfied –Village depopulated and declining Success or Failure?

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, Conclusion and Implication Uncertainty in “environment” Unforeseen social impact Rehabilitation not as expected Uncertainty & Unforeseen: no easy solution at planning One-shot plan is not feasible Monitoring with commitment

IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, End of Presentation Thank you very much!