COLLECTION, PROCESSING AND DISTRIBUTION OF SHORT-TERM STATISTICS EXPERIENCE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS Head of Main Department of the Industrial Statistics of the National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus Dovnar O.A.

INITIAL DATA monthly on 4 th working day arrives data:  industrial production (works, services of an industrial nature) in terms of value  Production of industrial production in physical quantity  shipment volume of industrial production (works, services of an industrial nature) in terms of value  stocks of finished products in terms of value  stocks of finished products in physical quantity

SCOPE OF RESPONDENTS Large and medium industrial organizations (average number of employees from 101) monthly Small organizations - the average number of employees from 16 to 100 quarterly Micro-organization (the average number of employees up to 15 inclusively) quarterly Industrial production of non-commercial organizations quarterly

METHODOLOGY Classifier : Calculation : Weights for aggregation: Changing the base year : Revision of the representative goods  National classifications of economic activities in the 4-digit harmonized with NACE, ed.1.1 and at the level of 2 digits ISIC, ed. 3  based on a set of representative goods  Gross value added by activity for the base year (t-2)  annually

FORMULA FOR CALCULATION OF THE INDICES OF PRODUCTION by elementary type of economic activity (subclass) Q t, Q t-1, Q b – amount of produced production for the reporting month (period) in the previous month (period) and a monthly average of base year P b – average unit price in the base year n – the number of representative goods involved in the calculation of the index in the subclass i t/b - indices in the reporting period t (month or period from the beginning of the reporting year), and a monthly average of produced production of the base year i t-1/b - indexes in the previous period t-1 (the previous month, the corresponding month of last year or relevant period from the beginning of last year), the monthly average of produced production of the base year i t/t-1 - indices in the reporting period t compared to the previous period t-1

HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF CALCULATION OF THE INDEX OF PRODUCTION by subclass of "manufacture of luggage, handbags and similar articles" Title of representative goods Production of goods in physical terms The average price in the base year (P b ) Cost of produced production in the average annual prices in the base year Indices of production to the average monthly value of the base year The production index for January 2009 as % of January 2008 (it/t-1) Январь 2009 г. (Q t ) Январь 2008 г. (Q t-1 ) в сред- нем за месяц базисного года (Q b ) Январь 2009 г. (Q t P b ) Январь 2010 г. (Q t-1 P b ) В среднем за месяц базисного года (Q b P b ) ( i t/b )(i t-1/b ) A12345=1*46=2*47=3*48=5/7%9=6/7 %10=8/9% Suitcases, pieces * * * ,1100,8108,2 Briefcases, pieces * * * ,1100,2109,9 Handbags, pieces * * * ,494,4114,8 TOTAL GROUP (11725 * ) + (13752 * 48020) + (7867 * 69410) (10841 * ) + (12510 * 48020) + (68520 * 69410) (10750 * ) + (12490* 48020) + (72592 * 69410) 108,7%96,1%113,1

FORMULA FOR CALCULATION OF GROSS VALUE ADDED W= V × D w :100 W – gross value added V – volume of industrial production D w – share of gross value added in a volume of industrial production

HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF CALCULATION OF GROSS VALUE ADDED by subclass "Leather, leather products and footwear" Title of groups of the NCEA related to the production of leather, leather products and footwear Volume of production in the actual sales prices, mln. rubles share of gross value added, % Gross value added of the base year, mln. rubles A123=1*2/100 Production of leather, products from leather and footwear551630Х Tanning and leather finishing , Productionof luggage, handbags and other products from leather , Production of footwear ,

FORMULAE OF CALCULATING AGGREGATE PRODUCTION INDICES by classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA and for the whole industry I t/t-1 = I t/b : I t-1/b х 100 I t/b, I t-1/b - aggregate indices for time periods t and t-1, respectively, compared with average monthly production of the base year I t/t-1 – aggregate index for the period of time t, as a percentage of the time period t-1 i t/b, i t-1/b – indices by subclasses (classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA), included into classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry) for the period of time t and t-1, respectively, compared with average monthly production of the base year W – gross value added of the base year by subclasses (classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA), included into classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry) m – amount of subclasses (classes, groups, divisions, sections NCEA), included respectively in classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry)

FORMULA OF CALCULATING OF THE TOTAL INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION BY FULL RANGE OF ORGANIZATIONS, engaged in industrial production : I full_range — production index by type of economic activity by the full range of organizations engaged in industrial production I prod. — production index of big and middle industrial organizations D prod. — share of production volume auxiliary industrial production in total industrial production in the base period I auxil. — industrial production index by auxiliary industrial productions D auxil. — share of total industrial production auxiliary industrial production in total volume of industrial production in the base period I sb — production index of subjects of small business D sb — share of volume of industrial production small business subjects in total volume of industrial production in the base period

HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF INDEX CALCULATION by subsection "Production of leather, products from leather and footwear manufacturing" Name of groups related to the production of leather, products from leather and footwear manufacturing Indices of production to the average monthly value of the base year Gross value added of the base year, mln. rubles (W) Irrational valueThe production index to the average monthly value of the base year The production index for January 2009 as % of January 2008 (I t/t-1 ) January 2009 (i t/b ) January 2010 (i t-1/b ) January 2009 (i t/b *W) January 2010 (i t-1/b *W) January 2009 (I t/b ) January 2010 (I t-1/b ) A123456=4/37=5/38=6/7 Production of leather, products from leather and footwear manufacturing хх214971(103,6 * 36806) + (108,7*13301) + (95,2 * ) (100,4 * 36806) + (96,1 * 13301) + (102,3 * ) 97,5101,696,0 Tanning and leather finishing 103,6100, ,6 * ,4 * Manufacture of luggage, handbags and other products from leather 108,796, ,7 * ,1 * Footwear manufacturing 95,2102, ,2 * ,3 *

FORMULA OF CALCULATING THE VOLUME OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION by auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small business by each type of economic activity V auxil.+sb — volume of industrial production of auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small businesses in the reporting period V prod. — volume of industrial production of large and medium industrial organizations in the reporting period К — ratio between the volume of industrial production of auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small businesses, and the volume of industrial production of large and medium industrial organizations

FORMULA OF CALCULATING OF THE RATIO on each activity I full_range — production index of by full range of organizations engaged in industrial production in the reporting period I prod.. — production index of large and medium industrial organizations in the reporting period D prod.. — share of volume of industrial production of large and medium Industrial organizations in the total volume of industrial production in the base period

FREQUENCY OF CALCULATION  The first estimate (preliminary data) – monthly on the 11 th day  The second estimate (specified data) - once a year on the 11th day of January of a year following the reporting  The third estimate (final data) – once a year in July of a year following the reporting

PUBLICATIONS  monthly report "Socio-economic situation of the Republic of Belarus“  statistical collections and bulletins issued by Belstat  “Statistics of Belarus” magazine  official website of Belstat:  site of the International Monetary Fund in accordance with the Special Data Dissemination Standard of the International Monetary Fund  Data provided by government agencies, other entities, academic institutions, international organizations, individuals

Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product by using X-12-ARIMA

СЕЗОННАЯ КОРРЕКТИРОВКА ВАЛОВОГО ВНУТРЕННЕГО ПРОДУКТА Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product

Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product excluding agriculture

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