By Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Second Stakeholders Forum on EU cooperation in Education and Training 2009 EUROPEAN YEAR OF CREATIVITY AND INNOVATION Report of the workshops February.

Advertisements

To improve the lives of vulnerable people by mobilizing the power of humanity Dr. Patrick Fox SEA DM Coordinator.

Policy development workshop Introduction: Understanding public goods problems.

Strengthening partnerships in disaster risk reduction WMO, XV Congress, Geneva, 2007.

DRR Can Be Fun! The Role of Games, Videos & Music in DRR work.

4/7/2015  Copyright Valiant Technology Ltd Roamer Mathematics.

Dom’s Game Dom Mazzone EMBA CL Dom’s Game How the Game is played Coin on top of desk has been tossed before class and is covered. It is unknown.

Climate Change Adaptation Louise Collett Climate Change Advocacy Coordinator Oxfam Australia

Student Leadership – a model Leadership and Global Citizenship Citation By: Rhys Andrews For: SESAF Student Leadership Workshop.

Note to Conference Presenter: This Powerpoint presentation deck was developed for large group conference settings. The game is played collaboratively.

Welcome to the factory! Objectives:

To Gabon or Not to Gabon A Game on Geoengineering Research and Policy by Pablo Suarez, Ph. D.

Designed by Pablo Suarez & Janot Mendler de Suarez (Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre)for the World Bank (Office of the Chief Economist for Sustainable.

KINGS COUNTY TENNIS LEAGUE Davis Cup Tennis Instructions Communicate to your site leader for any clarification you may need. Please report to your specific.

Games of probability What are my chances?. Roll a single die (6 faces). –What is the probability of each number showing on top? Activity 1: Simple probability:

Created by Charles Jenkins

WEATHER OR NOT A Game of Forecasts & Actions Pablo Suarez.

Ankur Patankar GT ID:

Disaster Prevention and Early Recovery in Central Asia Program status, strengthening and potential next steps Maxx Dilley Chief, Disaster Reduction and.

My game… You pay £1 to play I roll a dice If it lands on 1 or 2 you win £1.50 If it lands on 3, 4, 5, 6 you lose Will this game make me a profit if 10.

Disaster Reduction & Climate Change Adaptation by Fengmin Kan, UN-ISDR Africa Nairobiwww.unisdr.org.

OilSim Exploration OLF OILSIM Overview Purpose: Enhance your overall understanding of petroleum exploration Multidisciplinary challenge You are.

YOU & your team Community Disaster Risk Reduction Team: LOCAL WATER DEPARTMENT MUNICIPAL PLANNER BOARD of HEALTH DISASTER MANAGER CONSERVATION.

Decisions for the Decade How to invest in a climate-resilient future? Designed by Pablo Suarez and Janot Medler de Suarez EXPECT CONFUSION.

Answer With Your Feet Answer With Your Feet Goal Ice breaker to open and/or debrief an interactive session and consolidate insights from medium to large.

Community Resilience in Urban Areas (CRUA). Administrative Overview Agreement number:ECHO/SUB/2014/ Total eligible cost: € 662, EC co-financing:

Choices in a Changing Climate A Rural Resilience & Gender Game Designed for 2012 Mount Holyoke College Reunion Janot Mendler de Suarez ‘77 EXPECT CONFUSION.

runs! 90 runs 80 runs 70 runs 60 runs 50 runs 40 runs 30 runs 20 runs 10 runs 5 runs 4 runs 3 runs 2 runs 1 run.

ROCK, PAPER, STORM !!! A Game on Science, Disasters and Emotions by Pablo Suarez.

1 IFIEC Energy Forum 22 November 2011 Electricity.

Adaptation Approaches How could we respond to climate change and environmental degradation?

Cafod.org.uk Below the poverty line card 1 Stop producing! You have fallen below the poverty line, you must now face the consequences. cafod.org.uk Below.

OilSim Faroes 2007 Facilitator Course Tórshavn, 2. Oktober, 2007.

Competitive Summer Season Week of June 3 U9/U10 – 1v1 Defending.

Climate & Gender Game Climate & Gender Game Goal To support experiential learning and dialogue on the differential vulnerability of women and men facing.

The Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery Making Good Decisions Under Uncertainty Marianne Fay, Chief Economist Climate Change Group Vice.

To Row or Not to Row To Row or Not to Row Goal Fast-paced game for large groups or auditorium setting to open discussion on disaster risk decisionmaking.

Decision Theory: Outcomes and Consequences Not Considered Decision Outcomes Consequences Decision: choose between betting on green or red chip. Objective:

Introduction to Chess Club

DISSOLVING DISASTERS A Resilience Game where Donors Walk the Talk Designed for the Rockefeller Foundation by Pablo Suarez & Janot Mendler de Suarez EXPECT.

Tzami or little Jeremiads. Rules of the game: The game is played with 10 or 20 children, divided in two teams. Usually the team leaders get to choose.

American Government Political Parties. By the End of Today’s Class… You should be able to answer four questions: –Why do we have political parties? –Why.

BY: John May, Evan Smith. Peter Norman Put a picture of your game here.

Wedding Games Sometimes, to prevent the guests who attend the wedding will feel boring, there are some wedding games usually held in Taiwan. Group 8 JimmyBiancaHenry.

Block Design Matched Pairs Design

Working Games Learning Games 4 In the colonial Period, these games helped children learn skills that they would need later in life as a farmers and parents.

Saving lives, changing minds. Presentation title at-a-glance info (in slide master) SEA Climate Change Training Presentation title at-a-glance.

Cambodia February th Annual South-East Asia Red Cross Red Crescent Leadership Meeting 2015 UN Climate Change Conference COP21, (Paris, Dec.

Workshop 2 Core Skills Development Welcome to. Review of action planning Discuss engagement in learning process Describe what they learned between workshops.

CHOICES IN A CHANGING CLIMATE A Game on pursuing protection under peculiar probabilities by Pablo Suarez & Miquel Muñoz.

In games of chance the expectations can be thought of as the average outcome if the game was repeated multiple times. Expectation These calculated expectations.

Disaster risk reduction A users perspective from the IFRC

Decisions for the Decade How to make smart long-term decisions?

Partners for Resilience in the

A changing climate leads to changes in extreme weather and climate events of high impact in our society Source: Google Images.

Emergency Preparedness Where do we start?

Climate & Gender Game Goal

Hazard Response and Management

REACH Mission & Objectives

Hydro-Meteorological and Early Warning Services in the Caribbean

Negotiation Game Rules

Partnerships and networks

Beneficiary Communication

Jeff Wilson Meteorological Services for Improved Humanitarian Planning and Response Training Jeff Wilson

Scientific and Operational Context and Requirements for JCOMM Document 4.2 (1) Contribution of JCOMM to the Sendai Framework Alasdair Hainsworth Chief/Disaster.

PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions

If you win or lose, it is important to ALWAYS be a good sport.

Game Theory Day 2: More Simple Games.

PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Social Protection Shuffle

Decisions for the Seasons Experiencing Climate Risks

Presentation transcript:

by Pablo Suarez Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences

1. Game = simplified representation of reality (No questioning of game rules) 2. Decisions are individual (But consultation with team is encouraged) 3. You win or lose beans (Beans cannot be shared - Start with 10) GROUND RULES

Losers: Need more beans than you have? you have a humanitarian crisis! (receive a red stone each time) Winner: Most beans Winning Team: Fewest “humanitarian crises” (red stones) If a tie, team with most total beans WINNERS & LOSERS

Local Climate in Regional Context Regional Local Flood if 10+ (~16% chance)

YOU (RED CROSS WORKER) Stand up for Flood Preparedness: Pay 1 bean before rains Early Action Wait & See Stay sitting (doing non-disaster tasks): Pay nothing

No problem : No problem : Pay 4 Not enough beans to pay? Crisis! Early Action Wait & See No disaster ? Flood ?

LET’S PLAY! Two practice rounds PLAY!

The bid: 1. Put as many beans in the bowl as you want to invest 2. By end of countdown, bring bowl to front Highest bidders: Team can see regional die before decision, throughout game (receives transparent cup). Facilitator keeps beans Other teams: Recover your beans BID FOR A REGIONAL FORECAST Half of the teams will have info about likely rains

A. Your Team: _______________________ B. Contribute to the Forecast bid: _________ beans C. Did your team win the forecast bid? Yes / No Note: Maybe manuscript for Nature CC

BID FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION One team will reduce impact of future extremes Bid: 1. Put as many beans in the bowl as you want to invest 2. By end of countdown, bring bowl to front Highest bidder: Facilitator keeps beans. : If and then, pay only 2 beans Other teams: Recover your beans Wait & See Flood

1.Active learning (Peer-to-peer, “Aha!” moments UNFCCC ) 2.Serious, fun engagement (Emotions matter! RockFound ) 3.Data collection on decisions (In real time GEC ) 4.Design platform for optimization (illiteracy no problem) Gameplay beats Powerpoint