Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific

Outline - Characteristics of the Security Environment - Regional Perspectives South East Asia North East Asia South Asia Oceania - Thematic Perspectives Persistent Flashpoints Transnational Threats - Wild Cards - Meeting the Future - Conclusion

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Overview Perspective Looking at Security in the Asia-Pacific from the Perspective of the Security Practitioner

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific

Characteristics of the Security Environment - Tremendous Diversity - Historical Animosities - Politically and Economically Dynamic - Relatively Benign

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Characteristics of the Security Environment - High Priority on Economic Development - Tension between Globalization and National Sovereignty - Anxiety over the Rise of China and the Future of U.S. – China Relations

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – South East Asia

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – South East Asia - Overall Success of ASEAN - High Levels of Economic Integration and Socio-Economic Development Needed to Meet the Challenges of Transnational Threats and China/India

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – North East Asia

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – North East Asia - Major Power Relations in Perpetual Flux - Large Disparities in Political Systems and Economic Development - Limited Transnational Integration

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – South Asia

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – South Asia - Large Disparities in Demographics and Economies - Dynamic of Relations with Outside Major Powers (U.S.-China-Russia) - Looming Resource and Environmental Challenges

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – Oceania

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Regional Perspectives – Oceania - Overall Success of Pacific Islands Forum - Concern over Environment especially Climate Change - Sensitivity to Transnational Threats

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Thematic Perspectives Persistent Flashpoints – China-Taiwan

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Thematic Perspectives Persistent Flashpoints – Korean Peninsula

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Thematic Perspectives Persistent Flashpoints – India-Pakistan

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Thematic Perspectives Persistent Flashpoints – Various Insurgencies

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Thematic Perspectives – Transnational Threats - Terrorism and Transnational Crime - Environmental Degradation - Movements of People - Resource Competition

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Wild Cards The what ifs: - Natural Disaster - Economic Crisis - Epidemic Disease

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Meeting the Future - Changing Security Environment - Smaller region/world (globalization) - Wider and faster spread of Information and public awareness (IT revolution and 24hr media) - Expanded Security challenges including anti-terrorism and anti-crime (transnational threats) – Events seem to happen faster – Leaders have less time to make decisions – Debate and critique is less private and more public

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Meeting the Future Succeeding in an Increasingly Complex Environment Characterized by Conflicting Trends … rising urgency for governments to defeat any and all security challenges decreasing acceptance of failure and/or instability expansion of global media spread of public information

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific Conclusion - The Asia-Pacific’s complexity, economic power, political diversity, and strategic importance are increasing every day - The security dynamic is transnational in nature, characterized both by common trends across the region and individual circumstances that make each member state unique - Yesterday’s security strategies will not adequately meet the challenges of tomorrow - Security practitioners must cooperate across the region maximizing their strengths toward the common goal of a secure and stable Asia-Pacific

Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific