CARBOOCEAN WP14 – D 14.4 Damian Panasiuk, NILU Polska Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 CARBOOCEAN 2nd Annual meeting, Gran Canaria, 4-8 December.

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CARBOOCEAN WP14 – D 14.4 Damian Panasiuk, NILU Polska Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 CARBOOCEAN 2nd Annual meeting, Gran Canaria, 4-8 December 2006

Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 Groups of scenarios: 4 baseline scenarios (without climate policies) 5 Policy Targets (POT) scenarios 1 green scenario (EEA Low Greenhouse gas Emission Pathway with renewables targets) Data sources: CAFE scenarios (with and without climate policies, trends), National Technical University of Athens, CAFE/PRIMES model (with and without further climate measures), IIASA, EEA Climate changes scenarios data (5 scenarios),

Estimations: for Europe-30 (European Union-25 + Norway, Switzerland, Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey), for whole Europe and Russian Federation based on: trends from EU-15 used for Norway, Switzerland, Iceland and Liechtenstein, trends from new 10 Member States used for Bulgaria, Romania and remaining countries

baseline scenarios Policy Targets scenarios green scenario

Scenarios of CH 4 emission in Europe to I version Groups of scenarios: baseline scenario (without climate measures) Policy Targets scenarios (with existing measures) green scenarios (with additional measures) Data sources: EEA Climate changes scenarios data, EEA report 2006 „Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe”, EEA report 2003 „Greenhouse gas emission projections for Europe”,

CARBOOCEAN WP14 – D 14.4 Damian Panasiuk, NILU Polska Scenarios of CO 2 emission in Europe to 2030 CARBOOCEAN 2nd Annual meeting, Gran Canaria, 4-8 December 2006

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