14 - 1 The Deal: Valuation, Structure, and Negotiation.

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Presentation transcript:

The Deal: Valuation, Structure, and Negotiation

Exhibit 14.1 Factors underlying the required ROR include a premium for systemic risk, illiquidity, and value added.

Exhibit 14.2

Exhibit 14.3

The “Ideal” Startup

Exhibit 14.6

Valuation Methods The Venture Capital Method Appropriate for investments in a company with negative cash flow at the time of the investment, but which in a number of years is projected to generate significant earnings Need RRR, Time Period Termination Value=Earnings x Expected P/E ratio The Fundamental Method Simply the present value of the future earnings stream

Valuation Methods The First Chicago Method Employs a lower discount rate, but applies it to an expected cash flow Discounted Cash Flow Three time periods are defined (1) Years 1-5, (2) Years 6-10, (3) Year 11 to infinity Operating assumptions include initial sales, growth rates, EBIAT/sales, and (net fixed assets + operating working capital)/sales; also note relationships and trade-offs Three stage financing method

Exhibit 14.7

Exhibit 14.8

Exhibit 14.9 Calculate how much of the company must be sold at each stage if exit P/E=15!

What is a Deal in Entrepreneurial Finance? Deals—economic agreements between at least two parties that involves the allocation of cash flow streams (with respect to both amount and timing), the allocation of risk, and hence the allocation of value between different groups The deal includes value distribution, basic definitions, assumptions, performance incentives, rights, and obligations. It also involves mechanisms for transmitting timely, credible information, plus negative and positive covenants, default clauses, and remedial action clauses.

Tools Tools available are common stock, partnerships, preferred stock, convertible debt, performance conditional pricing, put/call options, warrants, and cash. Nonmonetary tools include: Number, type, and mix of stocks. The number of seats on the board of directors. Possible changes in the management team and in the composition of the board. Specific performance targets for revenues, expenses, market penetration, and the like.

Deal Characteristics Characteristics of successful deals They are simple They are robust They are organic They take into account the incentives of each party to the deal under a variety of circumstances They provide mechanisms for communications and interpretation

Deal Characteristics Characteristics of successful deals They are based primarily on trust rather than on legalese They are not patently unfair They do not make it too difficult to raise additional capital They match the needs of the user of capital with the needs of the supplier They reveal information about each party

Deal Characteristics Characteristics of successful deals They allow for the arrival of new information before financing is required They do not preserve discontinuities They consider the fact that it takes time to raise money They improve the chances of success for the venture

Tips Raise money when you do not need it. If all you get is money, you are not getting much. Learn as much about the process and how to manage it as you can. Know your relative bargaining position. Assume the deal will never close. Always have a backup source of capital. Legal and other experts can blow it.

Exhibit 14.10

Minimizing Surprises Tips to consider when raising capital: Raise money when you do not need it Learn as much about the process and how to manage it as you can Know your relative bargaining position If all you get is money, you are not getting much Assume the deal will never close Always have a backup source of capital The legal and other experts can blow it -- sweat the details yourself

Negotiation Steps of principled negotiation Separate the people from the problem Focus on interests, not positions Generate a variety of possibilities before deciding what to do Insist that the result be based on some objective standard

Beyond “Just the Money” Critical aspects of the deal Number, type, and mix of stocks and various features that may go with them that affect the investor’s rate of return The amounts and timing of takedowns, conversions, and the like Interest rate in debt or preferred shares The number of seats, and who actually will represent investors, on the board of directors Possible changes in the management team and in the composition of the board of directors

Beyond “Just the Money” Critical aspects of the deal Registration rights for investor’s stock Right of first refusal granted to the investor on subsequent private or initial public stock offerings Stock vesting schedule and agreements The payment of legal, accounting, consulting, or other fees connected with putting the deal together

Burdensome Issues for Entrepreneurs Co-sale provisions investors can tender their shares of their stock before an initial public offering. Ratchet anti-dilution protection investors get free additional common stock if subsequent shares are ever sold at a price lower than originally paid. Washout financing wipes out all previously issued stock when existing preferred shareholders will not commit additional funds.

More Burdens Forced buyout allowing the investor to find a buyer if management cannot Demand registration rights for at least one IPO in three to five years Piggyback registration rights grant rights to sell stock at the IPO Key-person insurance requiring the company to obtain life insurance on key people

Case Walnut Associates (B, C, D)