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Presentation transcript:

Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Copyright (c) 2006 Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Standard & Poor’s view on Bank’ liquidity and funding Elisabeth Grandin Director Financial Services - Credit Market Services Standard & Poor’s June 15, 2007 – AFGAP seminar

2. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Agenda 1 - How doesStandard & Poor’s take liquidity into account in its ratings? 2 - Key points in S&P’s review of liquidity management. 3 - Is the methodology going to change? 4 - Does S&P think that European banks are strong enough for liquidity risk management ?

3. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. How does Standard & Poor’s take liquidity into account in its ratings?

4. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. S&P Bank Rating Methodology A.Economic and industry risk B.Business profile –Market position –Diversification –Management/Strategy C.Risk management –Risk governance –Credit, market, operational, and funding/liquidity risks D.Financial profile –Credit risk –Market risk –Funding/liquidity risks –Earnings –Capital and financial flexibility

5. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. How liquidity is taken into account in our ratings Liquidity risk management has always been a key rating factor for wholesale funded and specialized players; For universal banks, the focus was more on the funding benefit derived from customer deposits; But liquidity risk management has become an important topic for universal banks.

6. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Deterioration in some European loan to deposit ratio

7. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Retail Deposits S&P looks favorably on banks with strong retail deposits because: They are typically less credit and interest rate sensitive than wholesale funding; They are typically cheaper than wholesale funding, especially if there is a large amount of checking accounts; They are more stable through a stress scenario.

8. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Assessing funding/liquidity profile is relatively easy Strength of deposit franchise  Stability and rate sensitivity of balances  Geographic and customer diversity  Concentrations Volume and composition of wholesale funding  Maturity  Investor type  Product  Currency Liquid asset ratios  Size and composition of unencumbered liquid asset portfolio

9. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Funding profile can be modified by liquidity management Greater attention on investor diversification, lengthening the liability profile, and managing costs  Covered bonds  Securitization  US & domestic CP programs  Benchmark and structured MTNs, extendible notes. Closer management of off-balance-sheet commitments

10. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Key points in Standard & Poor’s review of liquidity management

11. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Why does Standard & Poor ’ s review liquidity risk As for any risks, we want to understand senior management’s risk appetite and tolerances; As for any risks, adequacy of risk management to risk profile is key; More specifically, liquidity risk determines an organization’s ability to pursue organic and inorganic business opportunities… … and maintain its capacity to honor commitments to the market and to customers

12. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Funding /Liquidity Risk review Two aspects: Business as usual liquidity management: ability to fund new loans and other business opportunities Stress liquidity management: ability to survive a market-wide or bank- specific crisis

13. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. S&P asks many different questions as part as our review Understand Governance/Organization : –How is liquidity risk management organized, are risk procedures unified across organization, how centralized is the management of subsidiaries… Understand overall practices: –Do you maintain a portfolio of unencumbered liquid assets to sell or repo in the event of a problem, do you run stress tests, have you fixed some specific limits regarding liquidity management…..? Understand tools and metrics : –How are indicators built, what are the assumptions used in stress tests, how do you model customer behaviors…. For us, understanding internal indicators and reports used by banks are key for S&P.

14. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. 3 - Is the methodology going to change? Future evolutions

15. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. How Liquidity is integrated in our two current key programs: Entreprise risk management (ERM) –A key initiative to better formalize and communicate our opinion on banks’ overall risk management and to improve our capacity to compare banks. Risk-adjusted capital project –Preliminary decision is to quantify a capital charge to cover Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book in our model…. –…..but not for liquidity risk. –This choice is due to technical difficulties but also recognizes that liquidity risk is first a risk management issue that cannot be offset by capital.

16. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. 4 – How Standard & Poor’s sees liquidity risk management for European banks ?

17. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Liquidity management for European banks Liquidity management is overall adequate, with some banks ranking strong; We see an improving trend, from limited risk and poor risk management, to risk becoming significant and adequate (or strong) risk management; Stress tests have moved up on the agenda under regulatory pressure, but banks still underestimate the market disruption that would result from a bank-specific or widespread liquidity event; Capacity of banks to continue to improve their risk management in tandem with their reliance on wholesale funding will become increasingly important in our rating approach.

18. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Q & A ?

19. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Analytic services and products provided by Standard & Poor’s are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of each analytic process. Standard & Poor’s has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during each analytic process.