Proposal to update default solar NQCs (R.09-10-032, Phase 2) Resource Adequacy Workshop January 25, 2011.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Pacific Gas and Electric Company Long Term Procurement Plan Proceeding Renewable Integration Model Results and Model Demonstration October 22, 2010 Workshop.

Advertisements

WECC Reliability Based Control Field Trial

Avoided Cost and E3 Calculator Update Workshop March 14-15, 2006.

R RA Phase II Proposals Workshop (day 2) January 25, 2011 Court Yard room 10:00 am- 2:45 pm.

1 R Phase I Resource Adequacy Workshop presentation March 30, am to 5 pm California Public Utilities Commission 505 Van Ness Ave.

Power Supply Adequacy Assessment Model/Methodology Review Steering Subcommittee Meeting January 29, 2010.

CPUC Procurement Policies Robert L. Strauss California Public Utilities Commission Energy Division - Procurement Section.

1 Generation Adequacy Task Force Report to TAC April 7, 2005.

Status Report: Resource Adequacy (RA) and Long Term Procurement Planning (LTPP) CPUC Energy Division Molly Tirpak Sterkel cpuc.ca.gov; Tel:

David Howarth MRW & Associates Oakland, California 1 JUST THE FACTS: RESOURCE PLANNING AND PROCUREMENT INDEPENDENT ENERGY PRODUCERS ANNUAL.

Capacity Valuation.

1 Resource Adequacy (RA) Workshop Presentation by: Sue Mara On Behalf of: Alliance for Retail Energy Markets (AReM) January 18, 2011.

California Energy Commission Resource Adequacy Demand Forecast Coincidence Adjustments R Resource Adequacy Workshop January.

1 Actuarial Equivalency Factor Rule Accrued Benefit Policy Discussion January 14, 2003.

Compare and Contrast ELCC Methodologies Across CPUC Proceedings

ENERGY ONLY RESOURCES & THE RPS CALCULATOR. Deliverability Overview Most resources procured to date have been procured to be fully deliverable – CAISO.

INTEGRATION COST. Integration Cost in RPS Calculator While “Integration Cost” is included in NMV formulation, the Commission stated that the Integration.

NERC LTRA Update / CDR Capacity Counting Issues

Resource Adequacy Forecast Adjustment(s) Allocation Methodology

Update on the 2015 Special Study June 29, 2015 Arne Olson, Partner Nick Schlag, Managing Consultant Gabe Kwok, Senior Consultant.

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy operated by the Alliance for Sustainable.

Reliable Power Reliable Markets Reliable People ISO Rules Update – – Outage Cancellation – Long Lead Time Energy Dispatch Compliance.

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable.

Utah Schedule 37 Update June 25, Schedule 37 Background Schedule 37 – Published rates for standard power purchase agreements with qualifying facilities.

GE Energy Asia Development Bank Wind Energy Grid Integration Workshop: Issues and Challenges for systems with high penetration of Wind Power Nicholas W.

SM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® Page 1 Discussion on CEC’s and SCE’s Forecast Differences Presentation at CEC Preliminary Demand Forecast Workshop July.

Debra Lew NREL WestConnect Planning Meeting Western Wind and Solar Integration Study Update.

1 Connecting the Dots Edward Randolph Director, Energy Division California Public Utilities Commission Date (example: April 26, 2012)

Copyright © 2015 Clean Power Research, L.L.C Prepared by Ben Norris, Clean Power Research on behalf of Utah Clean Energy April 27, 2015 Net Metering Workgroup.

Avoided Costs of Generation

April 16, 2010 RPG Meeting ERCOT Five-Year Transmission Plan Update Jeff Billo.

California SONGS\OTC Plants Assumptions TEPPC – Data Work Group Call Tuesday, September 15, 2015.

State Rates Advisory Committee: Various Rate Updates December 2005 State of Montana Helena, Montana Davis Deshaies, LLC.

Updated Cost/Benefit Analysis for PRR Part A/S Bidding Proposed Methodology.

Wind ELCC Calculation Comparisons and ERCOT’s NERC LTRA Capacity Forecasts GATF Meeting, June 24, 2014.

Resource Adequacy for Distributed Generation January 27, :15 am to 12 noon Energy Division staff discussion Megha Lakhchaura.

1 ACT 61 INCREASED INVESTMENT AND SAVINGS SCENARIOS Summary Of Methods Used To Develop Inputs For Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness and Rate Impact John Plunkett.

Study Results High EE/DG/DR Study This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of an increase of EE/DG/DR.

RGGI Workshop on Electricity Markets, Reliability and Planning Topic Session 3: RGGI Design, Markets and Reliability – Issues Relating to System Operations.

Resource Adequacy Steering Committee Meeting October 4, 2011.

© Copyright 2013, First Solar, Inc. Establishing Accurate Power Generation Cost Assumptions for ERCOT Planning Colin Meehan – Director, Regulatory and.

NPRR 571 ERS Weather Sensitive Loads Requirements Carl Raish, ERCOT QSE Managers Working Group November 5, 2013.

Resource Adequacy Task Force (RATF) Update to WMS June 12, 2013.

Avoided Cost and E3 Calculator Update Workshop March 14-15, 2006.

ISO Proposed Flexible Capacity Requirements Stephen Keehn Senior Advisor California ISO CPUC Workshop January 26, 2012.

1 August 3, 2015 Environmental Considerations in RPS Calculator CEC IEPR Workshop.

HMTF Update TAS Nov 3-4, 2015 Kevin Harris, ColumbiaGrid TEPPC\Hydro Modeling Work Group - Chair.

1 PNW Regional Contingency Resources Resource Adequacy Technical Committee April 6 th, 2011.

. PANC Annual Conference May 16, 2012 Progress on the California RPS.

DWG – Dependable Capacity Kevin Harris, ColumbiaGrid TEPPC\Hydro Modeling Task Force - Chair.

Copyright © , Dennis J. Frailey, All Rights Reserved Day 2, Part 1, Page 1 1/11/2004 Day 2, Part 1 Estimating Software Size Section 2 Calculating.

Out of Region Market Assumption Resource Adequacy Technical Committee December 1, 2011.

Probabilistic Approach to Resource Adequacy Resource Adequacy Forum Technical Committee Meeting Portland, OR January 23, 2009.

Presentation Title SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® SM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® SM Regulatory Policy SCE Discussion on the Relationship Between NQC and EFC.

Presentation Title SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® SM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® SM Regulatory Affairs Demand Response and Local RA Criteria Discussion

1 R Workshop on 2016 RA proposals Energy Division Staff Procurement Oversight and Resource Adequacy California Public Utilities Commission Thursday,

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy operated by the Alliance for Sustainable.

April 5, 2016 CPUC. JDRP Proposal  Flexible RA Attributes and requirements should be unbundled from the underlying system RA and Local RA attributes.

1 PG&E Proposals for Refinements to the Resource Adequacy (RA) Program Compliance Year 2017 RA Workshop February 18, 2016.

Resource Adequacy Coincident Adjustment Factor Methodology Miguel Cerrutti Demand Analysis Office Energy Assessments Division R Workshop California.

CPUC Resource Adequacy Program – LAO briefing May 25, 2009.

SM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON® RETI 2.0 Workshop 03/16/2016 IOU Panel.

Power Supply Adequacy for the 2021 Operating Year Resource Adequacy Advisory Committee Steering Committee Webinar June 8, 2016.

Modeling DER in Transmission Planning CAISO Experience

DWG Meeting March 7, 2017 (Update to a Meeting held July 26, 2016)

Electricity Procurement Options

Resource Adequacy Demand Forecast Coincidence Adjustments

Annual routines with chaining

Modification 0333A – implementation info

and Forecasting Resources

Presentation transcript:

Proposal to update default solar NQCs (R , Phase 2) Resource Adequacy Workshop January 25, 2011

2 Need to modify wind/solar NQC for RA compliance years Under current counting rules wind/solar NQC: Equals 70% exceedance (30th percentile) of generation over a pre-specified set of peak period Based on 3 years of historical data or a default value if project has no history Issues with current rules: Default NQC values are not representative of new solar projects’ NQC

3 Current counting rule overstates system’s reliability Default solar NQC values overstate value of new solar resources because calculation is dominated by existing, gas-assisted units Substantial impact if method is unchanged (assume new solar NQC would be 45%) Impact will be large in the first year of solar addition. For 1,000 MW addition, NQC is over-stated by 500 MW (1,000 MW x (95% - 45%)) Impact of 1,000 MW addition decreases overtime as new projects’ historical performance is reflected in the NQC calculation Impact of successive solar additions compound effect Default 2011 NQC solar values Source: Caiso 2011 final NQC report, Dec 7,

4 Proposal: Revise default solar NQCs For 2012 RA and beyond, Replace default solar NQCs with table of values reflecting differences in solar technology (i.e., PV fixed vs. PV tracking vs. CST) and location Where historical data is unavailable, use simulated hourly production from representative profiles (e.g. NREL profiles, as used in LTPP)