8-1 Lecture 8: Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria This lecture presents multiple valuation techniques used during the capital budgeting process.

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Presentation transcript:

8-1 Lecture 8: Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria This lecture presents multiple valuation techniques used during the capital budgeting process.

8-2 Net Present Value Net Present Value - Present value of cash flows minus initial investments Opportunity Cost of Capital - Expected rate of return given up by investing in a project

8-3 Net Present Value

8-4 Net Present Value: Example 1 Assume you plan to invest $1,000 today and will receive $600 each year for two years (assume the cash is received at the end of the year). What is the net present value if there is a 10% opportunity cost of capital? C 0 = $1,000 C 1 = $600 C 2 = $600 r = 0.10

8-5 Net Present Value: Example 2 Assume you invest $1,000 today and will receive $1,200 in two years (assume the cash is received at the end of the 2 nd year). What is the net present value if there is a 10% opportunity cost of capital? C 0 = ? C 1 = ? C 2 = ? r = ?

8-6 Net Present Value Rule Managers increase shareholders’ wealth by accepting all projects that are worth more than they cost. Therefore, managers should accept all projects with a positive net present value.

8-7 Using the NPV Rule to Choose among Projects When choosing among mutually exclusive projects, calculate the NPV of each alternative and choose the highest positive-NPV project. Example: Consider two projects, assuming a 10% opportunity cost of capital. Which project should be selected? Challenges to the NPV Rule 1.The Investment Timing Decision 2.The Choice between Long and Short-Lived Equipment 3.When to Replace an Old Machine Project Cash Flows NPV C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 Project 1- $1,000$700$500$49.59 Project 2- $1,000$500$700$33.06 $49.59

8-8 Investment Timing Sometimes you have the ability to defer an investment and select a time that is more ideal at which to make the investment decision. Example: A common example involves a tree farm. You may defer the harvesting of trees. By doing so, you defer the receipt of the cash flow, yet increase the cash flow. Assume an opportunity cost of capital of 10%. YearCostSalesValueNPV

8-9 Long- vs. Short-Lived Equipment: Equivalent Annual Annuity The Choice between Long- and Short-lived Equipment: Equivalent Annual Cost - Equivalent Annual Annuity - The cash flow per period with the same present value as the cost of buying and operating a machine. Annuity Factor - The present value of $1 paid every year for each of t years.

8-10 Equivalent Annual Annuity: Example Given the following costs of operating two machines and an 8% cost of capital, select the lower-cost machine using the equivalent annual annuity method. Project Cash Flows NPV C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 C3C3 Machine 1- $3,000-$800 -$5,062 Machine 2- $2,000-$1,300 -$4,318 Annuity Factor EAA -$1,964 -$2,422 Select Machine 1 because its EAA is less negative. Equivalent Annual Annuity- The cash flow per period with the same present value as the cost of buying and operating a machine.

8-11 Payback Method Payback Period - Time until cash flows recover the initial investment of the project.

8-12 Payback Rule Says a project should be accepted if its payback period is less than a specified cutoff period.

8-13 Example: The three projects below are available. The company accepts all projects with a 2 year or less payback period. Show how this will impact your decision. Payback Method: Example Project Cash Flows Payback Period C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 C3C3 Project 1- $1,000$700$ years Project 2- $1,000$500$ years Project 3- $1,000$500$ years NPV 10%) $49.59 $33.06 $558.98

8-14 Drawback of Payback Rule 1.Though Projects 1, 2 and 3 have payback periods less than 2 years, notice the differences in NPV. 2.The Payback Rule ignores the time value of money.

8-15 Other Investment Criteria: IRR Internal Rate of Return (IRR) -

8-16 Internal Rate of Return: Example* Project Cash Flows NPV 10%) C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 Project 1- $1,000$700$500$49.59 Project 2- $1,000$500$700$33.06 IRR 13.90% 12.32% * Calculating the IRR can be a laborious task. Fortunately, financial calculators and spreadsheets can perform this function easily. See Appendix A.

8-17 Internal Rate of Return Rule Managers increase shareholders’ wealth by accepting all projects which offer a rate of return that is higher than the opportunity cost of capital.

8-18 NPV and Internal Rate of Return

8-19 IRR vs. NPV Lending or Borrowing? Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?

8-20 IRR vs. NPV: Mutually Exclusive Projects Pitfall 2 - Mutually Exclusive Projects

8-21 IRR vs. NPV Multiple Rates of Return Pitfall 3 – Multiple Rates of Return This problem can be corrected using MIRR (modified internal rate of return). See Chapter 8 appendix for details.

8-22 Other Investment Criteria: Profitability Index Project Cash Flows NPV 10%) C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 Project 1- $1,000$700$500$49.59 Project 2- $1,000$500$700$33.06 Profitability Index

8-23 Capital Rationing Limit set on the amount of funds available for investment. Soft Rationing – Limits on funds imposed by management. Hard Rationing – Limits on funds imposed by the lack of available funds in the capital market.

8-24 Appendix A: IRR -- Financial Calculators and Excel Calculating the IRR can be a laborious task. Fortunately, financial calculators and spreadsheets can perform this function easily. Consider the example “Project 1”: HP-10BBAII Plus -1,000CFjCF 700CFj2nd{CLR Work} 500CFj-1,000 ENTER {IRR/YR} 700 ENTER 500 ENTER IRRCPT All three methods generate an IRR of 13.90%.

8-25 Appendix B: Capital Budgeting Techniques

8-26 Appendix C: Valuation Technique Usage

8-27 Project Cash Flows C0C0 C1C1 C2C2 Project A- 500 TL400 TL300 TL Project B 1000 TL500 TL900 TL Given the following structure of the project and an 10% cost of capital please select a more attractive project NPV? Payback period? IRR? Profitability Index?