November 15, 2012 Stanford University Adele M. Hayutin, Ph.D. Director, Demographic Analysis Stanford Center on Longevity © 2012 Stanford Center on Longevity State of the West Symposium, 2012 California’s Demographic Drivers and Our Ability to Compete

Global Perspective: California’s growing workforce offers a competitive advantage 1 Working-Age Population, 2010=1.0 India Mexico California US China So. Korea Japan Data sources: CA Dept. of Finance, 2012; UN, 2011

2 Hispanic population continues sharp rise, white population declines 2 Total Pop million Total Chg million Data sources: CA Dept. of Finance; Pitkin & Myers, 2012

3 Hispanic population fuels work force growth Million % of Total 40%6%13%38% Population by sex and age, 2010

4 44% of Hispanic adults have not completed high school 4 Educational attainment of adults age 25+, 2010

5 Hispanic population fuels work force growth Million % of Total 40%6%13%38% Population by sex and age, 2010

6 Half the population gain will occur in older age brackets Population Change, Data source: Pitkin & Myers, 2012 Millions < Total Age

Immigrant share of growth will decline to 24% 7 Components of population growth Total gain million Native Born +8.2 Foreign Born +2.8 Data source: Pitkin & Myers, 2012 Millions

Competition for immigrants is increasing 8

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