Michael J. Folmer 1 Contributors: Andrew Orrison 2, Jessica Schauer 3, John Simko 4, Bob Kuligowski 5 1 University of Maryland/ESSIC/CICS, 2 NOAA/NWS/HPC,

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Presentation transcript:

Michael J. Folmer 1 Contributors: Andrew Orrison 2, Jessica Schauer 3, John Simko 4, Bob Kuligowski 5 1 University of Maryland/ESSIC/CICS, 2 NOAA/NWS/HPC, 3 NOAA/NWS/NHC/TAFB, 4 NOAA/NESDIS/SAB, 5 NOAA/NESDIS/STAR 05/01/12 NOAA Satellite Sciences Week

 Current QPF Products Issued at HPC:  91e Product (18z-00z and 06z-12z) 6-hour QPF  Day 1-3 QPF (6-hour increments)  Day 4 and 5 QPF (Medium Range Desk – 6 hour increments)  Excessive Rainfall Graphics (Day 1-3)  QPFPFD – NCEP Precipitation Forecast Discussion  Current Method for QPF verification:  Radar Estimates  CoCoRaHS  Stage 4 River Forecast Center (RFC)

 Satellite Precipitation Estimates (SPENES) Product  Give Satellite Briefings to the HPC Day 1 QPF Desk (6 briefings a day, every four hours)  Excessive Rainfall Potential  6 hour QPF  Give Satellite Briefings to the HPC Basic Weather Desk (twice a day)  Highlight Shortwave Features  Upper-level Jet Features  Moisture Plumes

SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST GOES IR IMAGERY SHOWS EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM CONTINUING TO DEVELOP OVER ERN EAST COAST OF THE U.S. WV IMAGERY SHOWS OVERALL COMPLEX PATTERN IN PLACE WITH SRN AND NRN STREAMS STILL REMAINING SEPARATE ATTM WITH NRN PIECE OF ENERGY NOW OVER GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY AND SRN STREAM UL LOW JUST OFF NE FL MOVING NEWD. MOISTURE PLUME ALONG EAST COAST HAS BECOME MORE N-S ORIENTED LAST FEW HRS AS OVERALL TROUGH BECOMING MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED AS NRN STREAM FEATURE INTENSIFIES AND DIGS SWD. ~Josh Newhard (SAB)

 Operational and Experimental Satellite Rainfall Estimate Text Products  Experimental 6-hr & 24 hr Rainfall Estimate Graphics  Experimental 24-hr Rainfall Forecast Graphics  Griffith-Woodley Satellite Rainfall Estimation Technique – used for current operational text product  New products use:  NRL-Blend Satellite Rainfall Estimate  QMORPH Satellite Rainfall Estimates from CPC

RAINFALL RATEGOES-15 INFRARED

RAINFALL RATEGOES-15 INFRARED

RAINFALL RATEGOES-15 INFRARED