The Future of Terrorism

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Presentation transcript:

Third Edition Understanding Terrorism Challenges, Perspectives, and Issues

The Future of Terrorism Chapter 14 What Next? The Future of Terrorism

Near-Term Projections Four Theoretical “Waves” of Terrorist Violence Anarchist: 1880s to the end of World War I. Anti-colonial: End of World War I until the late 1960s. New Left wave: 1960s to the near present. Religious: About 1980 to the present.

Old and New Terrorism

New Threats 21st Century Terrorist Environments State-sponsored terrorism. Dissident terrorism. Religious terrorism. Ideological terrorism. Criminal dissident terrorism.

New Threats (continued) Future Sources of Terrorism The Middle east. Palestine and Israel. Latin America. Europe. Africa. Asia.

New Threats (continued) High-Tech Terrorism Information technologies and Cyberterrorism. Weapons of mass destruction. Case: Exotic technologies. Soft Targets and Terrorist Symbolism

Controlling Terrorism: New Challenges Government Responses Societal Responses Countering Extremism

Controlling Terrorism: New Challenges (continued) New Fronts in a New War Covert shadow wars. Domestic “Homeland” security measures. Counterterrorist financial operations. Global surveillance of communications technologies. Identifying and disrupting transnational terrorist cells and support networks.

Controlling Terrorism: New Challenges (continued) Continued Utility of Force Elimination of terrorist threats. General deterrence. Specific deterrence. Demonstrations of national will. Countering Terrorist Financial Operations Finding hidden fortunes. Case: Hawala.

Controlling Terrorism: New Challenges (continued) Counterterrorist Surveillance Technologies Case: Carnivore (DCS-1000). Case: Echelon The Case for International Cooperation Intelligence and law enforcement.

Terrorism in the United States The Future of International Terrorism The Future of the Violent Left The Future of the Violent Right