September 11, 2001: Its Impact on the Insurance Industry

Outline Insurance Coverage for the World Trade Center The Impact of the Loss on the Insurance Industry Excluding Terrorism Federal Role Coverage for Terrorist Acts Future Developments

Property Insurance on the World Trade Center Cause of Loss –Aircraft –Explosion –Fire Type of loss –Direct Real property Personal property –Consequential Loss of income Potential Exclusion –Act of War

Other Covered Losses in World Trade Center Life Health Disability Workers Compensation Liability

World Trade Center Losses Current Estimate $50-55 billion Property – Towers 1 and 23.5 Other5.0 Business Interruption 10.0 Workers Compensation3.5 Aviation0.5 Event Cancellation2.0 Liability – Airlines3.5 Other 20.0 Life4.0

The Effect of the WTC Loss Primary insurers will pay approximately 1/3 of the WTC losses Reinsurers will pay approximately 2/3 of the loss The insurance industry can afford to pay for the WTC loss The industry cannot afford to cover another loss of this magnitude in the near future When capital levels are replenished, the industry would be able to withstand another major loss

Excluding Coverage for Terrorist Acts Reinsurers are now excluding terrorism coverage –Many reinsurance contracts renewed 1/1/02 –These contracts do not provide coverage for terrorism Primary insurers filed for terrorism exclusions 45 states (as of 2/22/02) allow terrorism exclusions Primary insurers are beginning to exclude terrorism as policies renewed In states that do not permit an exclusion, commercial property coverage will be difficult to obtain

Factors Affecting Exclusion Workers Compensation –No exclusions for a particular event allowed Standard fire policy language –Laws in 30 states require use of standard fire policy –Covers all fire losses, regardless of cause

Coverage for Another Terrorist Act If the loss occurred now, or in the near future, primary insurers would bear most of the cost –Solvency concerns If the loss occurs after insurers have added the exclusion, the individuals and businesses would bear most of the cost

Examples of Problems Caused by Lack of Terrorism Coverage Property owners without adequate coverage –Particular problem for “trophy” properties Cost increases for property coverage –Double the cost for 1/5 th of the coverage Lenders requirements for insurance coverage –Many borrowers are in violation of loan covenants Financing for new construction projects is being withheld

Federal Role in Terrorism Coverage Terrorism Risk Protection Act (H.R. 3210) –Provided for a loan program for insurers 90% of losses over $1 billion If losses exceed $20 billion, premium surcharge –Tort reform provisions Ban on punitive damages (other than perpetrators) Limits on noneconomic damages –Sunset provision 2002 (could be extended to 2004) –Passed the House of Representatives on 11/29/02 –Not passed by the Senate

Alternative Federal Proposals Federal government as a co-insurer Retention of $10 billion Government would pay 90% of losses over retention

Coverage for Terrorism A few companies are selling specialized terrorism coverage –High deductibles –Low limits –High premiums

Future Developments Insurers are concerned over concentration of risk in Workers Compensation Large premium increases are impacting companies of all types Construction work is slowing down Lack of terrorism coverage by itself could cause serious economic problems Risk sharing for terrorism losses will develop