Hanoi, January 27th 2015 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa DEI – Politecnico di Milano IMRR Project 2 – Framing the system/problem INTEGRATED AND SUSTAINABLE WATER.

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Presentation transcript:

Hanoi, January 27th 2015 Rodolfo Soncini Sessa DEI – Politecnico di Milano IMRR Project 2 – Framing the system/problem INTEGRATED AND SUSTAINABLE WATER MANAGEMENT OF RED-THAI BINH RIVER SYSTEM IN A CHANGING CLIMATE

The Design Problem (It)(It) scenario

The Policy control information feasible control set state policy (It)(It) control law

What is a policy? h u t w t h u w t1t1 t1t1 Time = t 1 flood supply Policy t2t2 Time = t 2 t2t2 t2t2 101 control law

Reservoirs policy = one cohordinated policy for the 4 reservoirs Policy: a function m t (I t ) that at each day t, given the information I t suggests the optimal release u t from the four strategic reservoirs.

The Design Objectives (It)(It) objective Evaluating the effects: indicators and criteria hierarchy To day 10:00 -11:00

The system model (It)(It) stateexogenous input Modeling the system 1-4 To day and tomorrow

Strategic reservoirs Hanoi

Scheme of RTBR system Hoa Binh proper inflow

Son La (Ta Bu) and Hoa Binh proper inflows a 2 t+1 = a HB t+1 - a 1 t Hoa Binh proper inflow Hoa Binh total inflow Son La inflow = Ta Bu Correlogram of Ta Bu and Hoa Binh recorded flows ( )

Head water recorded data Son La Hoa Binh prop. Yen Bay Thac Ba Ham Yen Tuyen Quang Historical horizon

Reconstruction of Thac Ba inflow

Scheme of RTBR system DELTA Hoa Binh proper inflow The Delta Model Tomorrow 9:00 -10:00

The boundary conditions of the Delta model Water demand

Minor river flows

The tide

Tyde patterns (Son Dong station) Diurnal Semi-diurnal

Center of mass of the Earth-Moon system

The tide

Tide pattern (at Hon Dau) Spring tyde Neap tyde

The intake points

Gravity channels

Nhue canal at the end of the wet season

Nhue canal when the irrigation demand peaks

A pump served by a suction tank

How important is the tyde?

Hystorical flows and tyde

Hystorical flows + no tyde

2.3 meters at Hanoi + tyde

2.3 meters at Hanoi + no tyde

Comparison 2.3 at Hanoi historical flow

Historical Flows + tyde Historical Flows + no tyde 2.3 m at Hanoi + tyde 2.3 m at Hanoi + no tyde 52 Mcm +45% 2 Mcm The tyde cannot be neglected

The scenario (It)(It) exogenous input scenario The scenario 29 th January

The Design Problem (It)(It) scenario

The system model in the Design Problem Modeling the system 4 Tomorrow 10:15 -11:15

The Design Problem (It)(It) scenario Design algorithm Tomorrow 11:15 -12:15

Thanks for your attention XIN CẢM ƠN

SPARCE SLIDES

ICT Tools yes Final (political) decision reasonable alternatives 2. Conceptualisation 3. Designing Alternatives 4. Estimating effects Stakeholders 1. Reconnaissance 5. Evaluation no Mitigation, and compensation, Agreement? PIP procedure PIP Participatory and Integrated Planning procedure 6. Comparison or negotiation Problem formulation Setting the goal and identifying the constraints Designing alternatives/options Selecting the best compromise alternative How to choose?