REMP Reports Improvements?. Why? Why now?  NRC/Public Interest (plant life extension, new plants, Fukushima)  Differences at various sites (Millstone,

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Presentation transcript:

REMP Reports Improvements?

Why? Why now?  NRC/Public Interest (plant life extension, new plants, Fukushima)  Differences at various sites (Millstone, IPEC, and others (e.g. my assist visits), NRC recommendations on model programs, vendor concerns about differences)  Corporate “models”  MARLAP, NUREG/CR-4007, NUREG-0475, HASL  RADNET  NAS Cancer Study  Revisions to Regulations, Reg. Guides and NUREGs

Items for Improvement  User Friendly Information (generally for the Public)  Plots and Trends  Summary Tables  Raw Data presentation – my primary concern

User Friendly Information  Pilgrim and Millstone have nice discussions on how nuclear power plants work and the potential environmental impacts, including background radiation information from NCRP 160 – planning to do the same for IPEC  Also want to tie in the RERRs with the AREORs - Millstone has a thorough discussion of effluents and effluent monitoring in its RERR – planning to do something similar at IPEC

Plots and Trends  Beaver Valley, Southern Nuclear and others have great information (however, some plots which show pre- operational data may actually show “less than” values – some of these have plots showing fallout levels in air particulates from the early 70’s thru today (Chinese weapon tests, Chernobyl, etc.) – these reports are good examples for these plots/trends  Millstone has several good trends (see Figure 2.12 in NAS Phase I - Draft)  5 year, 10 year, and lifetime trends (pros & cons, e.g., complete history vs. “resolution”)

Millstone figure

 Millstone

Summary Tables  NUREG 1301 & 1302 (BTP on REMP) – recommends format for Summary Table –average only positive results – bad practice, overly conservative especially when only a small percentage of the samples are positive – NAS Phase I Draft uses the summary table results in their report (Tables 2.14, 2.15)  NUREG/CR-4007 – pages 57-60, 76 – “Quality data, poorly reported, leads to needless information loss…” “…, the experimental result and its associated uncertainty should be recorded, even if it should be a negative number. (Proper averaging is otherwise impossible, except with certain techniques devised for “censored” (but not truncated) data.)”  HASL (now EML) - ("Reporting of Analytical Results from HASL," letter by Leo B. Higginbotham  NUREG – 0475 – page 9

NUREG page 9

MARLAP  MARLAP recommends that the reported value of a measurement result: (1) be reported directly  as obtained, with appropriate units, even if it is are negative, (2) be expressed in an appropriate  number of significant figures, and (3) include an unambiguous statement of the uncertainty. The  appropriate number of significant figures is determined by the magnitude of uncertainty in the  reported value. Each reported measurement result should include the value and an estimate of the  combined standard uncertainty (ANSI N42.23) or the expanded uncertainty.

Raw Data presentation  Since averaging should include “all results”, why not show all the results in the data tables? (some sites don’t even show these tables, why not?)  RADNET Location: EPA Region 01 Medium: SURFACE WATER Nuclides/Radiation: Tritium Units: Traditional Year Date Range : Note: Before September 1995, tritium results were calculated manually and rounded to the nearest 100 pCi/L (or 0.1 nCi/L). Tritium results less than 100 pCi/L were recorded as 100 pCi/L. Since September 1995 computer software has been used for the calculation and all results have been recorded as obtained. The pre practice created a positive bias in the measured tritium concentrations, which is clearly visible in graphs.

Raw Data presentation  A few sites have been reporting “all the data” for years – over 35 years for Millstone – it hasn’t presented any problems  Although this does not seem to be “the norm” (for utilities, but it is for the government), it will provide more useful data (lessen misuses, better trends/plots, better history, …), I really feel it is an important improvement  It’s time for change – let’s educate the public on it – any recommendations????

Conclusion  Improvements can be made by adding a few pages on general information  Trends/plots can be improved – better comparisons to pre-operation or other “historical data”  All data (+, zeros and -) need to be used when performing averages  All data should be presented (positive data, especially plant related can be “highlighted” to indicate which are actually “positive”) – these should be discussed in the “discussion” anyway

Comments/Questions