Slide-1 Donald Carlton Fire Program Solutions Cheetah 3: An Overview

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-2 Introduction Fire Program Solutions, LLC Donald Carlton Hood Court Sandy, Oregon (503) (Voice) Home Page:

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-3 Cheetah 3 Computerized Harmonic Evaluation of Episodes and Tools for Assessment and Help

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-4 Objectives  Provide a overview of the program capabilities to support decision processes.  Provide an overview of the purpose and structure of the Cheetah 3 software programs  Provide a overview of the program inputs, outputs.

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-5 Decisions vs Outcomes Favorable Uninformed Informed Unfavorable Decision Outcomes Where You Want to be Lucky Unlucky Deserving

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-6 Examples of Decision Support  Historical fire occurrence rates and patterns over a defined period of time  Specific firefighting resource needs during a moderately short period of time such as 2 weeks.  Financial projections of expected costs over a defined period of time  Others?

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-7 Programs  Cheetah 3 Manager –Program data management –Used to load and manage fire occurrence and organizational data –Password protected  Cheetah 3 Analyzer –Decision support –Define Analysis Sets –Do historic fire occurrence analysis –Do firefighting resource needs analysis

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-8 Fire Occurrence

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-9 Fire Occurrence  Agencies and States for –U.S Forest Service –Bureau of Land Management –Bureau of Indian Affairs –Fish and Wildlife Service –National Park Service –States Alaska Washington Oregon California

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-10 Fire Occurrence  Data fields in the fires master database –Unit identifier –Discovery date –Fire number –Fire size (acres to nearest tenth) –Statistical cause code (DOI definitions) –Datum –Latitude (decimal degrees) –Longitude (decimal degrees) –Fire Contain Date (MM/DD/YYYY) –Fire Contain Time (military time i.e. 1900) –Fire Control Date (MM/DD/YYYY) –Fire Control Time (military time i.e. 1900)

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-11 Fire Occurrence  All fires assigned to an organizational unit and a GACC –Fire reports do not have a GACC field –A unit organization table has the GACC for each organizational unit –The GACC is assigned on import via a lookup –Where reorganization has occurred, the unit a fire is assigned to may not be the one currently for the fire’s location

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-12 Cheetah 3 Analyzer

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-13 Cheetah 3 Analyzer  The program has two distinct but related sides –Historic fire occurrence analysis and –Firefighting resource requirements analysis

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-14 Cheetah 3 Analyzer  All analysis is done with an Analysis Set  Analysis Set parameters –Years –GACC(s) and/or States –Agencies or –Organizational Unit (PSA)

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-15 Cheetah 3 Analyzer

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-16 Cheetah 3 Analyzer  Predictive Service Area definition –A collection of organizational units

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-17 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Historic Fire Occurrence  Graphs available –Fire Occurrence Only –Fire Occurrence by Cause (Human, Natural or Both) –Fire Acres by Cause (Human, Natural or Both) –Fire Occurrence and Episodes –Yearly Episode Summary –Active Fires

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-18 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Occurrence Only Graph

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-19 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Occurrence by Cause Graph (Human, Natural or Both)

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-20 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Acres by Cause Graph (Human, Natural or Both)

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-21 Episodes  Cheetah 3 Analyzer –Of particular interest are the number and intensity of fire occurrence episodes

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-22 Number of D-G Fires from Episodes versus Total Fire Occurrence

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-23 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Occurrence and Episodes Graph

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-24 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Yearly Episode Summary Graph

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-25 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Active Fires Graph

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-26 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Historic Fire Occurrence  Reports available –Fire Occurrence by Cause (Human, Natural or Both) –Fire Acres –Episodes –Active Fires

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-27 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Occurrence by Cause Report (Human, Natural or Both)

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-28 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Fire Acres Report

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-29 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Episodes Report

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-30 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Active Fires Report

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-31 Cheetah 3 Analyzer  The program has two distinct but related sides –Historic fire occurrence analysis and –Firefighting resource requirements analysis

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-32 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Firefighting Resource Needs

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-33 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Firefighting Resource Needs

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-34 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Firefighting Resource Needs

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-35 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Firefighting Resource Needs

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-36 Cheetah 3 Analyzer Support  Tom Wordell is the first to contact  Users’ Guide has been developed  Program Summary has been developed  Help is developed in the programs  Program support web site –  Currently have a technical support agreement that is funded for FY 2008

Cheetah 3 An Overview Annual Predictive Services Workshop, Santa Fe, Slide-37