Finding Probability Using the Normal Curve Section 6.3

Objectives Calculate probability using normal distribution

Key Concept This section presents methods for working with normal distributions that are not standard (NON-STANDARD). That is the mean, m, is not 0 or the standard deviation, s is not 1 or both. The key concept is that we transform the original variable, x, to a standard normal distribution by using the following formula:

Conversion Formula

Converting to Standard Normal Distribution x -   z = Tell students to round z score answers to two decimal places if using Table A-2 from the text. P P  x z (a) (b)

Cautions!!!! Choose the correct (left/right) of the graph Negative z-score implies it is located to the left of the mean Positive z-score implies it is located to the right of the mean Area less than 50% is to the left, while area more than 50% is to the right Areas (or probabilities) are positive or zero values, but they are never negative

Example According to the American College Test (ACT), results from the 2004 ACT testing found that students had a mean reading score of 21.3 with a standard deviation of 6.0. Assuming that the scores are normally distributed: Find the probability that a randomly selected student has a reading ACT score less than 20 Find the probability that a randomly selected student has a reading ACT score between 18 and 24 Find the probability that a randomly selected student has a reading ACT score greater than 30

Example Women’s heights are normally distributed with a mean 63.6 inches and standard deviation 2.5 inches. The US Army requires women’s heights to be between 58 inches and 80 inches. Find the percentage of women meeting that height requirement. Are many women being denied the opportunity to join the Army because they are too short or too tall?

Find z-Values Using the Normal Curve Section 6.4

Example According to the American College Test (ACT), results from the 2004 ACT testing found that students had a mean reading score of 21.3 with a standard deviation of 6.0. Assuming that the scores are normally distributed: Find the 75th percentile for the ACT reading scores

Example The lengths of pregnancies are normally distributed with a mean of 268 days and a standard deviation of 15 days. One classical use of the normal distribution is inspired by a letter to “Dear Abby” in which a wife claimed to have given birth 308 days after a brief visit from her husband, who was serving in the Navy. Given this information, find the probability of a pregnancy lasting 308 days or longer. What does this result suggest? If we stipulate that a baby is premature if the length of the pregnancy is in the lowest 4%, find the length that separates premature babies from those who are not premature. Premature babies often require special care, and this result could be helpful to hospital administrators in planning for that care

Example Men’s heights are normally distributed with a mean of 69.0 inches and standard deviation of 2.8 inches. The standard casket has an inside length of 78 inches What percentage of men are too tall to fit in a standard casket? A manufacturer of caskets wants to reduce production costs by making smaller caskets. What inside length would fit all men except the tallest 1%?

Assignment Page 270 #1-7 odd Page 279 #19-25 odd