Incorporating Climate Change in USAID Projects Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc. 1-303-381-8218 Dr. Kenneth Strzepek University.

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Presentation transcript:

Incorporating Climate Change in USAID Projects Joel B. Smith Stratus Consulting Inc Dr. Kenneth Strzepek University of Colorado Ruhiza Jean Boroto Source Strategic Focus (Pty) Ltd.

USAID Considering Ways of Incorporating Climate Change into Project Planning, Design, and Management  Stratus Consulting is working with USAID on:  Developing guidance for AID on methods for incorporating climate change  Testing methods in three pilot studies  Will revise guidance based on lessons learned

Pilot Studies  Examine incorporation of climate change in planned or ongoing USAID projects  Work with stakeholders to define objectives, identify adaptations, and review results  Use in-country analysts to conduct research  Will develop implementation plans  Pilots:  Polokwane, South Africa: Water supplies  La Ceiba, Honduras: Flooding and coastal erosion  Mali: Agriculture (specific project TBD)  I’ll briefly discuss Polokwane and La Ceiba

Polokwane, South Africa  Concern is with long- term water supplies

Polokwane, South Africa  Water is transferred to the city  Polokwane is growing  Planning has not considered climate change  Climate models indicate potential for reduced runoff and soil moisture

Polokwane Study  Use a broad suite of climate change scenarios to capture possible changes in climate  Estimate changes in water demand from population and economic growth  Examine climate change effects on runoff and demand  DWAF will examine implications and adaptations using their planning model  Will meet with stakeholders to examine results and adaptation  Will develop implementation plan with AID Mission and stakeholders

La Ceiba, Honduras

La Ceiba Scope  Concerns about flooding, poor drainage, coastal erosion  Already serious issues  We are working with municipal planners, business community, and NGOs in La Ceiba

La Ceiba Project  We’ll develop scenarios of  Sea level rise  Intense hurricanes  Intense rains  Based on increases in temperature, not model output  Working with stakeholders and regional researchers on analyzing adaptations  Will develop implementation plan

I hope we can present results next year