Nile Basin Initiatives (NBI) Easter Nile Technical Regional Office (ENTRO) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW-I) Flood Forecasting in EN Region

 Through the FPEW I project New National Flood Forecasting Center is established in Ethiopia and strengthened in Sudan and Egypt. Regional Flood Coordination Unit is established in ENTRO  Capacity building training in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) using Eta and MM5 models conducted  Development and calibration of Flood Forecasting Model using HEC models (HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, etc.) in Ethiopia and Sudan (A.A. & Khartoum Universities)  Flood Risk Mapping & Community Flood Preparedness Action Plans for Pilot areas  Enhancing satellite precipitation estimate and hydrological models in Egypt  Two annual flood forums are conducted in Khartoum, and Cairo the third is planned for January 2010 in Ethiopia 2 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response (cont’d)  Flood Prone Areas – Pilot areas 3 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) Ethiopia Sudan

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response  HEC-RAS / HEC-GeoRAS model development and calibration procedure 4 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response  Plan view of the extent of flooding for the Gumara and Ribb Rivers for the 100 year flow 5

Key Issues 6 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)  Lack of good quality hydrological (flow) data for model calibration in Ethiopia and Sudan  Establishing and operating real time gauging stations  Data Communication system & data sharing between agencies & countries  Very short lead time (in hours) in Ethiopia  Lack of capacity to predict short period rainfall data (NWP); (NMA still trying to verify results from Eta and MM5 models)  Institution and Staff capacity building in flood forecasting & hydrological models  Sustainability of flood forecasting systems (e.g. Sudan FEWS)